Spaeri vs Rustavi: match statistics
Spaeri vs Rustavi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spaeri played Rustavi in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Spaeri: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rustavi: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spaeri scores 1.83 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Rustavi scores 1.33 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spaeri 67%, Rustavi 50%. Over 2.5: Spaeri 83%, Rustavi 67%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Spaeri has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.28. Spaeri: 13.2 shots per match, Rustavi: 9.7.
Match halves
Spaeri: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17. Rustavi: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Spaeri: 61-75 (3 goals). Rustavi: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.15 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spaeri has a clear offensive advantage at home — scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match with 11.5 shots and 4.5 on target, and a conversion rate of 22%. Rustavi away scores an average of 1.0 goal with 7.67 shots and 3 on target, has a lower conversion of 13% and fails to score in 33% of away matches. However, Spaeri concedes an average of 1.5 goals at home and has not kept a clean sheet yet (0%), while Rustavi concedes 1.0 goal away and has 33% clean sheets — this indicates realistic scoring chances for both teams. In xG terms Spaeri generates 1.39 xG at home versus an actual 2.5 goals (outperforming xG), whereas Rustavi posts 1.10 xG away while their opponents record 1.52 xG, which favors the quality of chances for the hosts. Considering higher possession (51% vs 43%), greater shot volume and better efficiency, I assess the probability of a Spaeri win at 60%, draw 25% and away win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Spaeri at home averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes only 0.67 goals per match this season; they have 67% home clean sheets and only 33% matches with both teams scoring (BTTS 33%), indicating strong home defense. Rustavi as away side have a seasonal BTTS 67% and score 1.0 goals on average away, but their away xG 1.10 is lower than the xG hosts typically allow (1.29), so the visitors create fewer clear chances. In the last 5 matches both teams show a 60% BTTS rate and Spaeri conceded 7 goals in that span (1.4 per match), significantly above the seasonal 0.67, showing some recent defensive weakening. However, Spaeri’s high home clean sheet rate 67%, the league-wide clean sheet rate 70% and a low league average goals 2.1 favor a No Goal scenario; therefore I assign 65% for BTTS - No and 35% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model comparing attacks and defenses gives Spaeri 1.49 xG and Rustavi 1.20 xG, totaling 2.69 expected goals. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.69 indicates roughly a 75% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about a 51% chance of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5). Seasonal data confirm goal activity: Over 2.5 occurred in 67% of both teams' matches this season, and in the last 5 matches the Over 2.5 rate rose to 80%, so my adjusted assessment for Over 2.5 is ~67%. On the other hand there have been no matches with 4+ goals this season (Over 3.5 = 0%), so the risk for Over 3.5 remains low (I estimate 29% for Over 3.5). As a result the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (75% per the model supported by the season 67% and recent form), hence the recommendation: Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Spaeri appears to be the favorite: average goals 1.67 versus 1.00 for Rustavi, xG 1.46 versus 1.10 and 11.67 shots versus 7.67 (on target 4.67 vs 3.0) indicate clearer chance creation by the hosts. The hosts lead at the break in 67% of matches (2 of 3) and score on average 0.67 goals in the first half while conceding 0.0, and the season first-half clean sheet rate is 100%, which increases the likelihood of a Half-Time lead. Over the full match Spaeri have a 67% win rate and average 2.0 points at home, while Rustavi average 1.33 points and concede 1.0 goal per match, which favors maintaining the lead. Considering the xG advantage, higher shot volume and more frequent leads at the break, the most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (Spaeri leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time). Therefore I assigned 45% to 1/1 and an additional 15% to X/1 as the second-strongest scenario; variants starting with '2' I rate at 0% in line with the statistic of hosts not trailing at Half-Time (trailingAtHTPercentage_home 0%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spaeri | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spaeri is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Spaeri · 1.33 goals / match - Rustavi
Rustavi is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Spaeri · 0.83 goals / match - Rustavi
Spaeri scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Rustavi keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Rustavi scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Spaeri keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spaeri
Over / Under - Rustavi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rustavi is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Spaeri · 2.33 pts / match - Rustavi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spaeri - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rustavi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spaeri
Rustavi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Spaeri | Liga | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.15 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 68% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Spaeri vs Rustavi?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Spaeri 1:1 Rustavi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spaeri vs Rustavi?
Spaeri score 1.83 goals per game on average and Rustavi 1.33. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Spaeri's matches and 50% of Rustavi's.
What form are Spaeri and Rustavi in?
Over the last 5 games Spaeri have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rustavi 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spaeri vs Rustavi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Spaeri vs Rustavi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.