Spaeri vs Samgurali: match statistics
Spaeri vs Samgurali: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spaeri played Samgurali in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 22 August 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Spaeri: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Samgurali: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spaeri scores 1.29 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Samgurali scores 1.29 and concedes 1.76. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spaeri 67%, Samgurali 62%. Over 2.5: Spaeri 57%, Samgurali 62%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Samgurali has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.42. Spaeri: 10.7 shots per match, Samgurali: 10.9.
Match halves
Spaeri: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Samgurali: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Spaeri: 76-90+ (9 goals). Samgurali: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spaeri have a clearly stronger home profile: they average 1.60 goals at home, while Samgurali average just 1.18 away from home. The visitors concede as many as 2.18 goals per away match and have lost 55% of such fixtures, with only 27% ending in victory. The hosts create slightly better chances, recording average xG of 1.42 compared with their opponents’ 1.40, and they also finish more efficiently: a 15% shot conversion rate versus 11% for Samgurali. The visitors’ current form is better, having won 2 and lost 1 of their last five matches, but their total of 5 goals in that period is not a strong offensive argument. Spaeri have conceded in most of their home matches, so a draw remains a realistic outcome, but Samgurali’s poor away defence tilts the prediction in favour of the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The seasonal BTTS rates stand at 60% for Spaeri and 64% for Samgurali, both above the league average of 57%. Spaeri score an average of 1.40 goals, while Samgurali concede as many as 2.18 goals per match, clearly strengthening the hosts’ chances of finding the net. The visitors create chances worth an average of 1.40 xG, whereas Spaeri have allowed opponents 1.63 xG and conceded 7 goals over their last five matches. Samgurali’s attacking form is less consistent, as they have scored only 1.0 goal per game on average across their last five fixtures, although Spaeri recorded BTTS in 80% of their matches during this period. The most likely scenario is therefore for both sides to score, although the risk of Samgurali failing to find the net remains significant.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Spaeri average 1.40 goals per match, while Samgurali concede as many as 2.18 goals, which clearly strengthens the hosts’ attacking potential. The xG model also points to an open game: the hosts create chances worth 1.46 xG, while the visitors generate 1.40 xG, with a combined projection of 2.85 goals. The 1.5 line was surpassed in 80% of Spaeri’s matches and 64% of Samgurali’s, averaging 72% overall. In their last five league rounds, both teams had at least three goals in 60% of their matches, but the lower line offers a clearly safer margin. Therefore, the best choice is Over 1.5 goals, as the data on attacking strength, the opponent’s defensive record, and the frequency of high-scoring games consistently support a minimum of two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Spaeri has a clearly stronger home profile: they win 50% of their matches, compared with Samgurali’s 27% win rate, while the visitors’ opponents concede as many as 2.18 goals per game on average. In the first halves, Spaeri were leading in 30% of matches, whereas Samgurali were behind at the break in as many as 55%; across their last five outings, the hosts scored an average of 0.8 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.2 for the visitors. Additionally, during this five-match run, Spaeri conceded only 0.2 goals per game before the break, while Samgurali conceded as many as 1.0, further supporting the scenario of a home lead after 45 minutes. Although Samgurali have recently shown better overall points-based form, Spaeri average 1.46 xG and register 4.5 shots on target per match compared with the visitors’ 3.82, making it most likely that the hosts will maintain their lead until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spaeri | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Samgurali is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Spaeri · 1.4 pts / match - Samgurali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spaeri is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Spaeri · 1.76 goals / match - Samgurali
Spaeri scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Samgurali scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Spaeri keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spaeri
Over / Under - Samgurali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spaeri is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Spaeri · 0.9 pts / match - Samgurali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spaeri - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Samgurali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spaeri
Samgurali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Spaeri | Liga | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.62 | 2.59 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 68% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Spaeri 1 - 1 - 0 Samgurali. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spaeri vs Samgurali?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Spaeri 3:4 Samgurali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Spaeri and Samgurali?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Spaeri won 1, Samgurali won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Spaeri vs Samgurali?
Spaeri score 1.29 goals per game on average and Samgurali 1.29. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Spaeri's matches and 62% of Samgurali's.
What form are Spaeri and Samgurali in?
Over the last 5 games Spaeri have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Samgurali 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spaeri vs Samgurali?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.