Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa: match statistics
Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sparta Katowice played SKRA Częstochowa in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sparta Katowice: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. SKRA Częstochowa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sparta Katowice scores 1.48 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. SKRA Częstochowa scores 2.03 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sparta Katowice 48%, SKRA Częstochowa 74%. Over 2.5: Sparta Katowice 42%, SKRA Częstochowa 77%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
SKRA Częstochowa has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.34. Sparta Katowice: 7.0 shots per match, SKRA Częstochowa: 12.1.
Match halves
Sparta Katowice: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.45. SKRA Częstochowa: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Sparta Katowice: 0-15 (27 goals). SKRA Częstochowa: 0-15 (43 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Skra Częstochowa holds a clear offensive advantage — 63 goals scored this season versus Sparta’s 46, including 12 goals in the last 5 matches while Sparta scored only 5. Away, Skra averages 13.42 shots and 5.67 on target per match and records 1.93 goals per game, whereas Sparta at home averages 8.67 shots, 3.4 on target and 1.44 goals per match; xG is 1.64 for Skra versus 1.36 for Sparta, confirming superior chance creation by the visitors. The hosts’ defense, however, looks more solid at home — Sparta concedes 1.13 goals per match and has 38% clean sheets, while Skra concedes 1.8 goals away and has only 7% matches without conceding. Form also favors Skra: the visitors average 2.4 points in the last 5 matches with 4 wins, while Sparta has 1.6 points in that period with a 2–2–1 record. Considering the higher quantity and quality of chances and the visitors’ better recent form, I predict a Skra victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 69% for Sparta Katowice and 80% for SKRA Częstochowa (average 74.5%), versus a league level of 57% — a strong signal for both teams to score. In the last 5 matches Sparta has only 40% BTTS and has scored 5 goals (1.0 per match) while conceding 0.8 on average, whereas SKRA has 80% BTTS, 12 goals (2.4 per match) and 1.4 conceded, indicating the visitors are in attacking form. xG figures are close: Sparta 1.71 xG vs SKRA 1.64 xG, with xG against 1.46 and 1.42 and averages of 6.0 and 5.67 shots on target, so both teams are creating real chances. Additionally, over 81% of Sparta’s matches and 73% of SKRA’s matches end over 2.5 goals, and the over2.5 + BTTS combination occurs in 69% and 60% of cases respectively, meaning high scores usually coincide with BTTS. Considering seasonal BTTS ~74.5%, SKRA’s 63 goals scored and only 7% clean sheets (versus Sparta’s 25%), I pick BTTS = Yes with a probability of 72%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams generate a lot of goals: Sparta 2.13 goals per match, Skra 1.93, totaling 4.06 goals season-to-date. xG is 1.71 for Sparta and 1.64 for Skra; accounting for opponents' defensive averages (Skra concedes xG 1.42, Sparta 1.46) I estimate expected goals of 1.75 for the home side and 1.55 for the visitors (3.30 combined). Season share of matches over 1.5 goals is 88% (Sparta) and 93% (Skra), hence a high probability for Over 1.5 (around 92%). For the 2.5 line we have 81% vs 73% (average ~78% for Over 2.5), while the 3.5 line is more balanced: 38% vs 53%, giving around 46% for Over 3.5. High BTTS rates of 69% and 80% and in the last 5 matches combined xG ~3.31 with 17 goals scored (5 and 12) further support at least a two-goal scenario, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sparta led at the break in 4 of their home matches (50%), averaging 0.88 goals scored before halftime and 0.75 conceded, and in 88% of their home games there was at least one goal by halftime. SKRA is particularly dangerous after the break: the visitors average 1.5 goals in second halves, with 2.75 second-half goals on average in the last 5 matches, and they win second halves in 50% of cases. Additionally, SKRA have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) compared to Sparta’s 40% in the last 5, which, combined with SKRA’s average 2.0 points gained after halftime, increases their ability to stage a turnaround. Therefore the most coherent scenario is Sparta leading at Half-Time while SKRA win after 90 minutes (HT/FT 1/2) — this combines the hosts’ 50% chance to have a lead at the break with the visitors’ high second-half scoring potential (1.5–2.75 goals). As a result I select 1/2 as the strongest signal; our estimates assign this option the highest single probability (~22%), while 1/1 and 2/2 remain realistic alternatives (~18% and ~20%, respectively).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sparta Katowice | SKRA Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.60 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SKRA Częstochowa is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sparta Katowice · 2.4 pts / match - SKRA Częstochowa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SKRA Częstochowa is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Sparta Katowice · 2.03 goals / match - SKRA Częstochowa
Sparta Katowice is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Sparta Katowice · 1.71 goals / match - SKRA Częstochowa
Sparta Katowice scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while SKRA Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
SKRA Częstochowa scores in 87% of matches (27 of 31 matches), while Sparta Katowice keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sparta Katowice
Over / Under - SKRA Częstochowa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sparta Katowice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
SKRA Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (43 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (38). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sparta Katowice
SKRA Częstochowa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Sparta Katowice | Liga | SKRA Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 66% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 23% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 26% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 32% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sparta KatowiceGoalPatryk Sobolewski
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sparta Katowice 1 - 0 - 0 SKRA Częstochowa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Sparta Katowice 1:0 SKRA Częstochowa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa?
Sparta Katowice score 1.48 goals per game on average and SKRA Częstochowa 2.03. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Sparta Katowice's matches and 74% of SKRA Częstochowa's.
What form are Sparta Katowice and SKRA Częstochowa in?
Over the last 5 games Sparta Katowice have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and SKRA Częstochowa 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa?
The statistical background for Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


