Sparta KW vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: match statistics
Sparta KW vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sparta KW played Siarka Tarnobrzeg in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Sparta KW: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sparta KW scores 0.81 and concedes 3.34 goals per match. Siarka Tarnobrzeg scores 1.66 and concedes 1.34. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sparta KW 38%, Siarka Tarnobrzeg 63%. Over 2.5: Sparta KW 69%, Siarka Tarnobrzeg 63%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Siarka Tarnobrzeg has higher xG: 1.34 vs 0.99. Sparta KW: 2.5 shots per match, Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 4.8.
Match halves
Sparta KW: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.34. Siarka Tarnobrzeg: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Sparta KW: 0-15 (14 goals). Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 0-15 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sparta KW are having a catastrophic season: just 3 wins, 1 draw and 28 losses with a goal record of 26–107, and at home they concede on average 3.25 goals with a home goal difference of -35. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 2 and conceded 19 (0-0-5), averaging 0.4 goals for and 3.8 against per game and 0 points. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored 53 goals this season (1.38 away) and conceded 43; in their last 5 matches they scored 3 and conceded 6 (0-2-3) with 0.4 points per game, indicating greater offensive and defensive stability than the hosts. Advanced metrics confirm the visitors’ advantage: Sparta face average xG against of 1.93 at home versus 1.43 xG against for Siarka away, clean sheets 6% vs 19% and average shots on target 4.17 (Sparta) versus 3.29 (Siarka); despite Sparta’s higher conversion rate 26% versus Siarka’s 13%, the hosts still concede far more goals. Therefore I predict an away win: probabilities estimated at 10% for Sparta, 20% for a draw and 70% for Siarka.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 63% (Sparta and Siarka), and the league produces BTTS in 59% of matches, which is a strong signal in favor of Goal/Goal. However, Sparta KW is in clear decline — in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred only in 40%, the hosts averaged 0.4 goals scored and conceded 3.8 goals (2 scored and 19 conceded in 5 matches), so there is a real risk they won’t score. Siarka in the last 5 matches has BTTS 60%, averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, and seasonal xG shows both sides create chances: xG 1.47 vs 1.62 for Sparta and xG 1.15 vs 1.43 for Siarka, with average shots on target 5.2 vs 3.29, which supports the both teams to score scenario. Considering the strong seasonal signal (63%/63% and league 59%), low clean sheet chances (25% Sparta, 19% Siarka) and a clear tendency toward matches over 2.5 goals, I tip BTTS - Yes with probability around 62% versus 38% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project approximately 2.84 total goals in the match (Sparta 1.45 vs Siarka 1.39) based on xG: Sparta has xG 1.47 versus average xG allowed to opponents of 1.43, while Siarka has xG 1.15 versus average xG allowed to opponents of 1.62. Both teams frequently exceed 1.5 goals per game – Sparta 88% and Siarka 81% of matches over 1.5 – and the league averages 3.1 goals per match, which strongly supports Over 1.5. Sparta has serious defensive issues (107 goals conceded this season and 19 in the last 5 matches, form: lllll), while Siarka scored 53 goals this season and averages 3.29 shots on target per game; this increases the likelihood of goals from both sides (BTTS 63%). Over 2.5 stats are also significant: Sparta had 69% of matches over 2.5, Siarka 56%, and the combined xG of 2.84 suggests an approximate 68% probability for Over 2.5; however the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 due to the combination of 88%/81% seasonal rates, combined xG=2.84 and Sparta’s weak defense.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is the 2/2 scenario (away leading at half-time and winning), because the home side conceded by half-time in 5 of their last 5 matches (100% in the last 5), which significantly increases the likelihood that the visitors will be in front after 45 minutes. Additionally, the away team has a higher full-time win rate this season (31% vs 19%) and more points earned by half-time (HTPoints 22 vs 18), which supports a final victory when leading. Although the hosts score more on average this season (1.94 goals vs 1.38 for the visitors) and generate higher xG (1.47 vs 1.15) and more shots on target (5.2 vs 3.29), their form (last 5 matches: LLLLL) clearly reduces the chances of a turnaround. The second half often yields goals (second-half over 0.5: 92% for the hosts and 87% for the visitors), so I expect the half-time lead to be held or extended. Both teams have a seasonal both-teams-to-score rate of 63% vs 63%, so I anticipate goals from both sides, but the strongest signal remains 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sparta KW | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.17 | 0.88 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg is 105% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Sparta KW · 1.66 goals / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Siarka Tarnobrzeg is 149% better for: goals conceded per match.
3.34 goals / match - Sparta KW · 1.34 goals / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Sparta KW scores in 44% of matches (14 of 32 matches), while Siarka Tarnobrzeg keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Siarka Tarnobrzeg scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Sparta KW keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sparta KW
Over / Under - Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg is 139% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.59 pts / match - Sparta KW · 1.41 pts / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sparta KW - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -9 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (54). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (17 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sparta KW
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Sparta KW | Liga | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.16 | 3.09 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 23% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Siarka TarnobrzegGoalKrystian Kardyś
- Sparta KWGoalAdam Sendor
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sparta KW 0 - 0 - 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sparta KW vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Sparta KW 3:1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sparta KW vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
Sparta KW score 0.81 goals per game on average and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1.66. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Sparta KW's matches and 63% of Siarka Tarnobrzeg's.
What form are Sparta KW and Siarka Tarnobrzeg in?
Over the last 5 games Sparta KW have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sparta KW vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.