Netherlands - EredivisieSparta-Stadion Het KasteelData current as of 21 October 2026

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sparta Rotterdam play Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel.

Current form

Sparta Rotterdam: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ajax: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sparta Rotterdam scores 1.78 and concedes 2.44 goals per match. Ajax scores 3.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sparta Rotterdam 78%, Ajax 78%. Over 2.5: Sparta Rotterdam 89%, Ajax 78%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 75%.

xG, shots and style

Ajax has higher xG: 2.48 vs 1.59. Sparta Rotterdam: 14.7 shots per match, Ajax: 22.9.

Match halves

Sparta Rotterdam: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.11. Ajax: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.78.

Goals by minute

Sparta Rotterdam: 46-60 (4 goals). Ajax: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.84 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 75%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(6.84)
(5.33)
(1.41)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.78Goals scored / match3
Sparta RotterdamAjax
2.44Goals conceded / match1.33
Sparta RotterdamAjax
45%Average possession62%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
5.11Shots on target / match7.89
Sparta RotterdamAjax

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.67Shots per match22.89
Sparta RotterdamAjax
5.11Shots on target7.89
Sparta RotterdamAjax
12.1%Shot conversion13.1%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
45%Possession62%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
1.59xG for2.48
Sparta RotterdamAjax
1.91xG against1.16
Sparta RotterdamAjax

Shooting quality

Sparta Rotterdam: Counter-attackingAjax: Dominant
Sparta RotterdamAjax
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ajax is 120% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Sparta Rotterdam · 2.2 pts / match - Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam
DLLDW
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 2.15BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Ajax
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
56% W33% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 away
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.77Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ajax is 69% better for: goals scored per match.

1.78 goals / match - Sparta Rotterdam · 3 goals / match - Ajax

Ajax is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.44 goals / match - Sparta Rotterdam · 1.33 goals / match - Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam scoring profile: very strong

Sparta Rotterdam scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Ajax scoring profile: very strong

Ajax scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Sparta Rotterdam keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

16Goals scored (season)27
Sparta RotterdamAjax
22Goals conceded (season)12
Sparta RotterdamAjax
4.22Average goals in match4.33
Sparta RotterdamAjax
9Goals scored (last 5)18
Sparta RotterdamAjax
15Goals conceded (last 5)7
Sparta RotterdamAjax

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal100%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
56%2 goals78%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
44%3 goals44%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
0%4 goals44%
Sparta RotterdamAjax

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal78%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
78%2 goals44%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
44%3 goals11%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
22%4 goals0%
Sparta RotterdamAjax

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

72%
League average

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time44%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
33%BTTS in both halves11%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
56%Scored in both halves56%
Sparta RotterdamAjax

BTTS and goal count

78%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Sparta RotterdamAjax

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Sparta RotterdamAjax

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
89%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
Sparta RotterdamAjax

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ajax is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Sparta Rotterdam · 2 pts / match - Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam - half-time state
22% leading33% draw44% trailing
Ajax - half-time state
56% leading33% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)2
Sparta RotterdamAjax
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.22
Sparta RotterdamAjax
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Sparta RotterdamAjax
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.78
Sparta RotterdamAjax
22%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
33%No goal before half-time11%
Sparta RotterdamAjax

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.89
Sparta RotterdamAjax
1.11Goals scored (2nd half)1.78
Sparta RotterdamAjax
1.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
Sparta RotterdamAjax
2.56Average goals (2nd half)2.56
Sparta RotterdamAjax
11%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Sparta RotterdamAjax
33%No goal after half-time33%
Sparta RotterdamAjax

Sparta Rotterdam - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
9
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ajax - second-half results

56% W22% D22% L
18
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sparta Rotterdam - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.8
Average goals in match2.02.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Ajax - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.20
Goals scored / match1.42.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.83.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+5+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sparta Rotterdam
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
6
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Ajax
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
7
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
7
1
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.28
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 2.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
78%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sparta Rotterdam

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Ajax

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

Sparta RotterdamLigaAjax
Average goals in match▲ 4.223.84▲ 4.33
Both teams scored▲ 78%72%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 89%75%▲ 78%
Clean sheets▼ 0%15%▲ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%83%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time• 89%90%• 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.84
Average goals per match
72%
Both teams scored
75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
2.04
Away goals / match
+-12%
Home attack advantage
+-13%
Home defence advantage
+-8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
68%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 1 - 1 Ajax. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

AFC Ajax
4 : 0
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3
AFC Ajax

FAQ

When do Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax play?

Sparta Rotterdam face Ajax on 25 October 2026 in Eredivisie at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sparta Rotterdam won 0, Ajax won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

Sparta Rotterdam score 1.78 goals per game on average and Ajax 3.00. The Eredivisie average is 3.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 75% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Sparta Rotterdam's matches and 78% of Ajax's.

What form are Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax in?

Over the last 5 games Sparta Rotterdam have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ajax 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

The statistical background for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.