Netherlands - EredivisieSparta-Stadion Het KasteelData current as of 16 October 2026

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sparta Rotterdam play Willem II in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel.

Current form

Sparta Rotterdam: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Willem II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sparta Rotterdam scores 1.63 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Willem II scores 0.88 and concedes 2.88. League average: 3.74 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sparta Rotterdam 75%, Willem II 75%. Over 2.5: Sparta Rotterdam 88%, Willem II 75%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.

xG, shots and style

Sparta Rotterdam has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.16. Sparta Rotterdam: 13.8 shots per match, Willem II: 11.5.

Match halves

Sparta Rotterdam: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Willem II: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Sparta Rotterdam: 61-75 (3 goals). Willem II: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.74 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.59)
(4.47)
(5.31)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sparta RotterdamWillem II
1.63Goals scored / match0.88
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
2.5Goals conceded / match2.88
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
44%Average possession39%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
4.75Shots on target / match2.63
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.75Shots per match11.5
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
4.75Shots on target2.63
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
11.8%Shot conversion7.6%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
44%Possession39%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
1.51xG for1.16
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
1.98xG against2.33
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

Shooting quality

Sparta Rotterdam: BalancedWillem II: Balanced
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
Accuracy (shots on target)35%23%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sparta Rotterdam is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Sparta Rotterdam · 0.2 pts / match - Willem II

Sparta Rotterdam
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
13% W38% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-4
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
LDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 2.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Willem II
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W25% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-6
0.25 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 2.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sparta Rotterdam is 85% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - Sparta Rotterdam · 0.88 goals / match - Willem II

Sparta Rotterdam is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.5 goals / match - Sparta Rotterdam · 2.88 goals / match - Willem II

Sparta Rotterdam scoring profile: very strong

Sparta Rotterdam scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

Willem II scoring profile: very strong

Willem II scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Sparta Rotterdam keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

13Goals scored (season)7
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
20Goals conceded (season)23
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
4.13Average goals in match3.75
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
7Goals scored (last 5)3
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
15Goals conceded (last 5)13
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
50%2 goals13%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
38%3 goals0%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
0%4 goals0%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
75%2 goals75%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
50%3 goals63%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
25%4 goals38%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

69%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time13%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
25%BTTS in both halves0%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
50%Scored in both halves0%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
80%BTTS - last 560%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
88%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time63%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sparta Rotterdam is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Sparta Rotterdam · 0.5 pts / match - Willem II

Sparta Rotterdam - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Willem II - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.5
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.13
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
1.63Average goals (1st half)1
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
25%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
38%No goal before half-time88%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per match (2nd half)0.5
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)2
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
2.5Average goals (2nd half)2.75
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
13%Clean sheet after half-time13%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
38%No goal after half-time38%
Sparta RotterdamWillem II

Sparta Rotterdam - second-half results

13% W50% D38% L
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Willem II - second-half results

13% W13% D75% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+1.1

Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sparta Rotterdam - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.8
Average goals in match1.82.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-3-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Willem II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.60
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-5-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sparta Rotterdam
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Willem II
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
5
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
9
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.3 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sparta Rotterdam

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Willem II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
43%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
168%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
57% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
57%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

Sparta RotterdamLigaWillem II
Average goals in match▲ 4.133.74• 3.75
Both teams scored▲ 75%69%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 88%72%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▼ 0%16%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%81%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time• 88%89%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.74
Average goals per match
69%
Both teams scored
72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
2.03
Away goals / match
+-16%
Home attack advantage
+-19%
Home defence advantage
+-9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
65%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II play?

Sparta Rotterdam face Willem II on 17 October 2026 in Eredivisie at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Sparta Rotterdam score 1.63 goals per game on average and Willem II 0.88. The Eredivisie average is 3.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Sparta Rotterdam's matches and 75% of Willem II's.

What form are Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II in?

Over the last 5 games Sparta Rotterdam have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Willem II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.