Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: match statistics
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 presents significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors win 44% of their away games with a positive goal difference (+2), whereas Spartak Varna wins only 20% of home matches with a -8 record. Spartak is in dramatic form, failing to win any of their last five matches and earning just 0.2 points per match. Lokomotiv has superior xG indicators (1.29 vs 1.23) and a more effective defense on the road (0.89 goals conceded on average). Additionally, the hosts concede an average of 2 goals per match at home, which, given the visitors' offensive capabilities (1.11 goals on average away), gives the advantage to the team from Sofia. All key statistical indicators point to a victory for the visitors.
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spartak Varna played Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Spartak Varna: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spartak Varna scores 0.90 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 scores 1.10 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spartak Varna 60%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 50%. Over 2.5: Spartak Varna 45%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 40%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.05. Spartak Varna: 8.2 shots per match, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 9.3.
Match halves
Spartak Varna: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Spartak Varna: 76-90+ (6 goals). Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 presents significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors win 44% of their away games with a positive goal difference (+2), whereas Spartak Varna wins only 20% of home matches with a -8 record. Spartak is in dramatic form, failing to win any of their last five matches and earning just 0.2 points per match. Lokomotiv has superior xG indicators (1.29 vs 1.23) and a more effective defense on the road (0.89 goals conceded on average). Additionally, the hosts concede an average of 2 goals per match at home, which, given the visitors' offensive capabilities (1.11 goals on average away), gives the advantage to the team from Sofia. All key statistical indicators point to a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spartak Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Spartak Varna · 2 pts / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Spartak Varna · 1.1 goals / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Spartak Varna · 1.05 goals / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Spartak Varna scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Spartak Varna · 1.35 pts / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Spartak Varna | Liga | Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.39 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 33% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Spartak Varna 0 - 1 - 0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
The First League match finished Spartak Varna 2:2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
Spartak Varna score 0.90 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1.10. The First League average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Spartak Varna's matches and 50% of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's.
What form are Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in?
Over the last 5 games Spartak Varna have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


