Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets: match statistics
Ludogorets is the clear favorite in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The away team shows dominance in away matches with a 54% win rate and a high 69% clean sheet rate, while conceding an average of just 0.69 goals per game. Spartak Varna finds itself in a difficult situation in 13th place, with only a 23% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-8). The form of both teams also favors the visitors – Ludogorets has won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Spartak has recorded only 1 victory in that period. Ludogorets's advantage in ball possession (60% vs 43%), shot quality (5.54 vs 3.85 on target per match), and expected goals (xG 1.85 vs 1.29) further confirms their clear superiority. Considering all the statistics, an away victory appears to be the most likely scenario.
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spartak Varna played Ludogorets in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 19 March 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Spartak Varna: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ludogorets: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spartak Varna scores 0.88 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Ludogorets scores 1.88 and concedes 0.69. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spartak Varna 58%, Ludogorets 42%. Over 2.5: Spartak Varna 46%, Ludogorets 50%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Ludogorets has higher xG: 2.14 vs 1.09. Spartak Varna: 8.5 shots per match, Ludogorets: 16.8.
Match halves
Spartak Varna: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.62. Ludogorets: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.23.
Goals by minute
Spartak Varna: 76-90+ (8 goals). Ludogorets: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ludogorets is the clear favorite in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The away team shows dominance in away matches with a 54% win rate and a high 69% clean sheet rate, while conceding an average of just 0.69 goals per game. Spartak Varna finds itself in a difficult situation in 13th place, with only a 23% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-8). The form of both teams also favors the visitors – Ludogorets has won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Spartak has recorded only 1 victory in that period. Ludogorets's advantage in ball possession (60% vs 43%), shot quality (5.54 vs 3.85 on target per match), and expected goals (xG 1.85 vs 1.29) further confirms their clear superiority. Considering all the statistics, an away victory appears to be the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spartak Varna | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ludogorets is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Spartak Varna · 2 pts / match - Ludogorets
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Spartak Varna · 1.88 goals / match - Ludogorets
Ludogorets is 123% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Spartak Varna · 0.69 goals / match - Ludogorets
Spartak Varna scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 58% (15 of 26 matches).
Ludogorets scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
Over / Under - Ludogorets
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ludogorets is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Spartak Varna · 1.46 pts / match - Ludogorets
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Spartak Varna | Liga | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.42 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 43% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 35% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Spartak Varna 0 - 1 - 0 Ludogorets. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
The First League match finished Spartak Varna 1:5 Ludogorets. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
Spartak Varna score 0.88 goals per game on average and Ludogorets 1.88. The First League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Spartak Varna's matches and 42% of Ludogorets's.
What form are Spartak Varna and Ludogorets in?
Over the last 5 games Spartak Varna have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ludogorets 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.