Scotland - League TwoData current as of 12 September 2026

Spartans vs Elgin City: match statistics

Spartans crest
Spartans
1 : 1half-time 0:0
Elgin City crest
Elgin City

Spartans vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Spartans played Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Spartans: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Elgin City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Spartans scores 1.68 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Elgin City scores 1.47 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Spartans 56%, Elgin City 59%. Over 2.5: Spartans 53%, Elgin City 59%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Spartans has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.28. Spartans: 9.8 shots per match, Elgin City: 9.5.

Match halves

Spartans: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.94. Elgin City: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Spartans: 31-45+ (15 goals). Elgin City: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Spartans sit 2nd in the table while Elgin are 5th; hosts have won 53% of home matches versus just 18% away wins for the visitors. Spartans have scored 57 goals this season, Elgin 50; in the last 5 matches the hosts netted 8 goals and the visitors 7, with similar average xG: 1.34 (Spartans at home) vs 1.37 (Elgin away). Spartans’ key advantage is defense: hosts concede 0.94 goals per game at home and keep 47% clean sheets, whereas Elgin concede 1.65 goals away and have only 12% clean sheets. Spartans average 5.29 shots on target from 9.47 shots (≈56% accuracy), Elgin 4.53 on target from 10.35 shots (≈44% accuracy), indicating greater finishing precision for the hosts. Considering the superior defense, higher clean sheet share and slightly better PPG in the last 5 (1.6 vs 1.4), I tip a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The 'yes' (BTTS - Yes) scenario is more likely because Elgin City has a season BTTS rate of 71% versus Spartans' 47%, and the league overall records 62% of matches with both teams scoring. Elgin averages 1.29 goals per match with an xG of 1.37, while Spartans score 1.65 on average and concede 1.47 per season — conditions that favor goals from both sides. Both teams create a good number of chances: Elgin averages 10.35 shots and 4.53 on target per match, Spartans 8.71 shots and 4.35 on target, and the league average goals is 2.91, which supports a goals scenario. Against BTTS-Yes is Spartans' higher clean sheet frequency (41% of matches) and the recent form where Spartans have conceded 0.8 goals on average in the last 5 matches (4 conceded) and Elgin 1.4 (7 conceded). Taking into account the away team's dominant seasonal signal (71% BTTS), the league frequency of 62% and the offensive profiles of both sides, I assign 65% probability to 'yes' and 35% to 'no'.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Spartans score an average of 1.65 goals per match, Elgin City 1.29, totaling 2.94 goals per match—slightly above the league average of 2.91. xG analysis: Spartans xG_for 1.19 vs Elgin defense xG_against 1.30 suggests ≈1.25 goals for the home side, while Elgin xG_for 1.37 vs Spartans defense xG_against 1.07 suggests ≈1.22 for the visitors; averaging xG and seasonal averages yields expected 1.45 (home) and 1.28 (away), totaling ≈2.73. Seasonal percentages reinforce this view: Over 1.5 occurred in 88% of both teams’ matches, Over 2.5 appears in 65% of Elgin’s games and 53% of Spartans’ games, and the league posts Over 2.5 in 56% of matches. Additionally, Spartans have a higher shot conversion at 19% versus Elgin’s 13% and average 4.35 shots on target (Spartans) vs 4.53 (Elgin), which increases the likelihood of exceeding 1.5 goals in the match. At the same time only 24%–29% of both teams’ matches finish above 3.5 goals, so the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation), while Under 3.5 remains a sensible alternative.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

I back 1/1 (Spartans lead at the break and win) because the home side is clearly stronger: average points per home match are 1.59 versus 0.94 for Elgin, and win rates 47% vs 18%. Spartans more often lead at the break (35% of home matches versus only 24% for Elgin), they also score on average 0.65 goals by half-time compared to 0.53 for the visitors and concede 0.59 vs 0.82, giving them the edge in the first half. After the break the hosts are particularly dangerous: on average 1.88 goals in the second half, 94% of matches with a goal after half-time and as many as 8 goals scored in minutes 46–60 versus 1 goal for Elgin in that segment, so maintaining or extending the lead is likely. On that basis I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (30%), with a significant 21% probability for X/1 (draw at half-time, home win) and 18% for the 2/2 scenario as the main alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
SpartansElgin City
6Shots5
SpartansElgin City
3Shots on target3
SpartansElgin City
0.89xG0.76
SpartansElgin City
4Corners3
SpartansElgin City
40Dangerous attacks31
SpartansElgin City
19Fouls14
SpartansElgin City
2Cards2
SpartansElgin City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SpartansElgin City
1.68Goals scored / match1.47
SpartansElgin City
1.06Goals conceded / match1.56
SpartansElgin City
52%Average possession51%
SpartansElgin City
5.38Shots on target / match4.44
SpartansElgin City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.76Shots per match9.53
SpartansElgin City
5.38Shots on target4.44
SpartansElgin City
17.2%Shot conversion15.4%
SpartansElgin City
52%Possession51%
SpartansElgin City
1.36xG for1.28
SpartansElgin City
0.96xG against1.19
SpartansElgin City

Shooting quality

Spartans: Efficient finishingElgin City: Efficient finishing
SpartansElgin City
Accuracy (shots on target)55%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Spartans is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Spartans · 1.4 pts / match - Elgin City

Spartans
DDWLW
Season result split
53% W24% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-8-8
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Elgin City
WWLLD
Season result split
32% W29% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-13
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-7-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Spartans is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.68 goals / match - Spartans · 1.47 goals / match - Elgin City

Spartans is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.06 goals / match - Spartans · 1.56 goals / match - Elgin City

Spartans scoring profile: very strong

Spartans scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

Elgin City scoring profile: very strong

Elgin City scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Spartans keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).

57Goals scored (season)50
SpartansElgin City
36Goals conceded (season)53
SpartansElgin City
2.74Average goals in match3.03
SpartansElgin City
8Goals scored (last 5)7
SpartansElgin City
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
SpartansElgin City

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal82%
SpartansElgin City
44%2 goals50%
SpartansElgin City
24%3 goals15%
SpartansElgin City
6%4 goals0%
SpartansElgin City

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal74%
SpartansElgin City
26%2 goals41%
SpartansElgin City
12%3 goals26%
SpartansElgin City
3%4 goals9%
SpartansElgin City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time21%
SpartansElgin City
6%BTTS in both halves9%
SpartansElgin City
26%Scored in both halves26%
SpartansElgin City

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
SpartansElgin City
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
SpartansElgin City
60%BTTS - last 540%
SpartansElgin City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
SpartansElgin City
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
SpartansElgin City
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
SpartansElgin City

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
SpartansElgin City
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
SpartansElgin City
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
SpartansElgin City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Spartans is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / match - Spartans · 1.21 pts / match - Elgin City

Spartans - half-time state
35% leading47% draw18% trailing
Elgin City - half-time state
29% leading32% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per match (1st half)1.21
SpartansElgin City
0.74Goals scored (1st half)0.59
SpartansElgin City
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
SpartansElgin City
1.32Average goals (1st half)1.29
SpartansElgin City
59%Clean sheet before half-time50%
SpartansElgin City
50%No goal before half-time56%
SpartansElgin City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.82Points per match (2nd half)1.35
SpartansElgin City
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
SpartansElgin City
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
SpartansElgin City
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.74
SpartansElgin City
62%Clean sheet after half-time47%
SpartansElgin City
35%No goal after half-time35%
SpartansElgin City

Spartans - second-half results

50% W32% D18% L
52
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding151%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Elgin City - second-half results

35% W29% D35% L
41
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Spartans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Elgin City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Spartans
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
6
5
16-30
15
8
31-45
10
6
46-60
10
5
61-75
12
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Elgin City
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
4
9
16-30
9
10
31-45
9
6
46-60
10
11
61-75
11
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Spartans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Elgin City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

SpartansLigaElgin City
Average goals in match 2.742.91 3.03
Both teams scored 56%62% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%56% 59%
Clean sheets 35%22% 26%
Goal before half-time 65%75% 74%
Goal after half-time 79%79% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. SpartansSubstitutionOn: Ethan DrysdaleOff: Mark McNulty
  2. Elgin CityYellow cardJack Murray
  3. SpartansYellow cardJamie Dishington
  4. Elgin CityYellow cardJack Maciver
  5. SpartansYellow cardBradley Whyte
  6. SpartansGoalMark StoweAssist: Jordan Tapping
  7. Elgin CityGoalMorgyn Neill
  8. Elgin CitySubstitutionOn: Matheus MachadoOff: Miko Aarne Virtanen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Spartans 2 - 1 - 0 Elgin City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Spartans vs Elgin City?

The League Two match finished Spartans 1:1 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Spartans and Elgin City?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Spartans won 2, Elgin City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Spartans vs Elgin City?

Spartans score 1.68 goals per game on average and Elgin City 1.47. The League Two average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Spartans's matches and 59% of Elgin City's.

What form are Spartans and Elgin City in?

Over the last 5 games Spartans have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Elgin City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spartans vs Elgin City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.