Spartans vs Elgin City: match statistics
Spartans vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spartans played Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Spartans: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Elgin City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spartans scores 1.68 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Elgin City scores 1.47 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spartans 56%, Elgin City 59%. Over 2.5: Spartans 53%, Elgin City 59%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Spartans has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.28. Spartans: 9.8 shots per match, Elgin City: 9.5.
Match halves
Spartans: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.94. Elgin City: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Spartans: 31-45+ (15 goals). Elgin City: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spartans sit 2nd in the table while Elgin are 5th; hosts have won 53% of home matches versus just 18% away wins for the visitors. Spartans have scored 57 goals this season, Elgin 50; in the last 5 matches the hosts netted 8 goals and the visitors 7, with similar average xG: 1.34 (Spartans at home) vs 1.37 (Elgin away). Spartans’ key advantage is defense: hosts concede 0.94 goals per game at home and keep 47% clean sheets, whereas Elgin concede 1.65 goals away and have only 12% clean sheets. Spartans average 5.29 shots on target from 9.47 shots (≈56% accuracy), Elgin 4.53 on target from 10.35 shots (≈44% accuracy), indicating greater finishing precision for the hosts. Considering the superior defense, higher clean sheet share and slightly better PPG in the last 5 (1.6 vs 1.4), I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'yes' (BTTS - Yes) scenario is more likely because Elgin City has a season BTTS rate of 71% versus Spartans' 47%, and the league overall records 62% of matches with both teams scoring. Elgin averages 1.29 goals per match with an xG of 1.37, while Spartans score 1.65 on average and concede 1.47 per season — conditions that favor goals from both sides. Both teams create a good number of chances: Elgin averages 10.35 shots and 4.53 on target per match, Spartans 8.71 shots and 4.35 on target, and the league average goals is 2.91, which supports a goals scenario. Against BTTS-Yes is Spartans' higher clean sheet frequency (41% of matches) and the recent form where Spartans have conceded 0.8 goals on average in the last 5 matches (4 conceded) and Elgin 1.4 (7 conceded). Taking into account the away team's dominant seasonal signal (71% BTTS), the league frequency of 62% and the offensive profiles of both sides, I assign 65% probability to 'yes' and 35% to 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Spartans score an average of 1.65 goals per match, Elgin City 1.29, totaling 2.94 goals per match—slightly above the league average of 2.91. xG analysis: Spartans xG_for 1.19 vs Elgin defense xG_against 1.30 suggests ≈1.25 goals for the home side, while Elgin xG_for 1.37 vs Spartans defense xG_against 1.07 suggests ≈1.22 for the visitors; averaging xG and seasonal averages yields expected 1.45 (home) and 1.28 (away), totaling ≈2.73. Seasonal percentages reinforce this view: Over 1.5 occurred in 88% of both teams’ matches, Over 2.5 appears in 65% of Elgin’s games and 53% of Spartans’ games, and the league posts Over 2.5 in 56% of matches. Additionally, Spartans have a higher shot conversion at 19% versus Elgin’s 13% and average 4.35 shots on target (Spartans) vs 4.53 (Elgin), which increases the likelihood of exceeding 1.5 goals in the match. At the same time only 24%–29% of both teams’ matches finish above 3.5 goals, so the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation), while Under 3.5 remains a sensible alternative.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Spartans lead at the break and win) because the home side is clearly stronger: average points per home match are 1.59 versus 0.94 for Elgin, and win rates 47% vs 18%. Spartans more often lead at the break (35% of home matches versus only 24% for Elgin), they also score on average 0.65 goals by half-time compared to 0.53 for the visitors and concede 0.59 vs 0.82, giving them the edge in the first half. After the break the hosts are particularly dangerous: on average 1.88 goals in the second half, 94% of matches with a goal after half-time and as many as 8 goals scored in minutes 46–60 versus 1 goal for Elgin in that segment, so maintaining or extending the lead is likely. On that basis I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (30%), with a significant 21% probability for X/1 (draw at half-time, home win) and 18% for the 2/2 scenario as the main alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spartans | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spartans is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Spartans · 1.4 pts / match - Elgin City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spartans is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Spartans · 1.47 goals / match - Elgin City
Spartans is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Spartans · 1.56 goals / match - Elgin City
Spartans scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Elgin City scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Spartans keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spartans
Over / Under - Elgin City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spartans is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Spartans · 1.21 pts / match - Elgin City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spartans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spartans
Elgin City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Spartans | Liga | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.74 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 22% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Spartans 2 - 1 - 0 Elgin City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spartans vs Elgin City?
The League Two match finished Spartans 1:1 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Spartans and Elgin City?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Spartans won 2, Elgin City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Spartans vs Elgin City?
Spartans score 1.68 goals per game on average and Elgin City 1.47. The League Two average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Spartans's matches and 59% of Elgin City's.
What form are Spartans and Elgin City in?
Over the last 5 games Spartans have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Elgin City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spartans vs Elgin City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


