Scotland - League TwoAinslie Park StadiumData current as of 29 October 2026

Spartans vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics

Spartans crest
Spartans
5 : 1half-time 3:0
Forfar Athletic crest
Forfar Athletic

Spartans vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Spartans played Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Ainslie Park Stadium. Final score: 5:1.

Current form

Spartans: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Forfar Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Spartans scores 2.33 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Forfar Athletic scores 1.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.20 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Spartans 67%, Forfar Athletic 33%. Over 2.5: Spartans 67%, Forfar Athletic 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Spartans has higher xG: 1.22 vs 0.95. Spartans: 8.0 shots per match, Forfar Athletic: 6.2.

Match halves

Spartans: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 2.00. Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Spartans: 76-90+ (10 goals). Forfar Athletic: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Spartans sit 4th, while Forfar Athletic are 6th, and in their last five matches the hosts have collected 8 points compared with the visitors’ 4. Spartans have scored 13 goals during this period, whereas the visitors have managed only 4 and conceded as many as 10. At home, Spartans have drawn all three of their matches so far, but they create more chances: averaging 8 shots, 5 on target and an xG of 1.34, compared with Forfar’s away figures of just 5.33 shots and an xG of 0.90. The hosts score 2.67 goals per home game, while Forfar Athletic average just 0.67 away from home and have failed to score in 33% of their away fixtures. Spartans’ defence does allow a high average of 2.67 goals conceded at home, but the visitors’ poor conversion rate of 13% supports the case for the hosts to end their run of home draws and secure a win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Spartans have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches and their average xG conceded is just 0.63. Forfar Athletic score only 0.67 goals per away game with an xG of 0.90, while in their last five appearances they have averaged 0.8 goals and recorded BTTS in just 20% of matches. The hosts are in significantly better attacking form, averaging 2.6 goals and 1.81 xG per game across their last five fixtures, while Forfar conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period. The visitors have not kept a single clean sheet this season, so a Spartans goal is highly likely, but Forfar’s low attacking efficiency increases the probability of a result in which at least one team fails to score. Spartans’ season-long BTTS rate is also 0%, well below the league average of 50%, further supporting the No Goal scenario for both teams.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Spartans are in clearly better offensive form: they have averaged 2.6 goals over their last 5 matches, while Forfar conceded 2.0 goals per game during the same period. The hosts have also averaged 1.81 xG, whereas the visitors’ xG conceded stood at 1.47, supporting their edge in goalscoring potential. At the same time, Forfar average just 0.67 goals in away matches, while Spartans have a very solid defence, conceding only 0.63 xG per game and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of matches. Despite the hosts’ increased attacking potential, neither team has recorded a game with more than 3 goals this season, and the second-half average for both sides is only 1.0 goal. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5, as the modelled total of 2.55 goals leaves a clear margin below four goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Spartans have won 67% of their home matches, while Forfar Athletic are yet to record an away victory and have lost 33% of such games. The hosts led at the break in 2 of their 3 home appearances, scoring an average of 1.00 goal before half-time and conceding just 0.33, whereas the visitors have never held a half-time lead and conceded an average of 1.00 goal during this phase. The qualitative advantage is also evident in the xG figures: Spartans restrict opponents to just 0.63 xG per match, compared with the 1.25 xG that Forfar Athletic’s defence allows on average. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored an average of 1.6 goals after half-time, while the visitors have managed only 0.4, further supporting the scenario of maintaining or extending an early lead. The most likely outcome is therefore Spartans leading at the break and going on to win after the final whistle.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
SpartansForfar Athletic
16Shots9
SpartansForfar Athletic
8Shots on target2
SpartansForfar Athletic
2.02xG0.99
SpartansForfar Athletic
5Corners2
SpartansForfar Athletic
63Dangerous attacks38
SpartansForfar Athletic
12Fouls15
SpartansForfar Athletic
3Cards0
SpartansForfar Athletic

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SpartansForfar Athletic
2.33Goals scored / match1
SpartansForfar Athletic
1.83Goals conceded / match1.33
SpartansForfar Athletic
57%Average possession50%
SpartansForfar Athletic
4.5Shots on target / match3.83
SpartansForfar Athletic

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8Shots per match6.17
SpartansForfar Athletic
4.5Shots on target3.83
SpartansForfar Athletic
29.2%Shot conversion16.2%
SpartansForfar Athletic
57%Possession50%
SpartansForfar Athletic
1.22xG for0.95
SpartansForfar Athletic
1.18xG against1
SpartansForfar Athletic

Shooting quality

Spartans: Efficient finishingForfar Athletic: Efficient finishing
SpartansForfar Athletic
Accuracy (shots on target)56%62%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.520.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Spartans is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Spartans · 1 pts / match - Forfar Athletic

Spartans
DLDDW
Season result split
33% W50% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Last 5 at home
0-3-0
DDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Forfar Athletic
DWLDL
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
DLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Spartans is 133% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Spartans · 1 goals / match - Forfar Athletic

Forfar Athletic is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.83 goals / match - Spartans · 1.33 goals / match - Forfar Athletic

Spartans scoring profile: very strong

Spartans scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Forfar Athletic scoring profile: very strong

Forfar Athletic scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Spartans keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

14Goals scored (season)6
SpartansForfar Athletic
11Goals conceded (season)8
SpartansForfar Athletic
4.17Average goals in match2.33
SpartansForfar Athletic
10Goals scored (last 5)5
SpartansForfar Athletic
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
SpartansForfar Athletic

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
SpartansForfar Athletic
83%2 goals17%
SpartansForfar Athletic
50%3 goals17%
SpartansForfar Athletic
17%4 goals0%
SpartansForfar Athletic

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
SpartansForfar Athletic
67%2 goals33%
SpartansForfar Athletic
33%3 goals33%
SpartansForfar Athletic
0%4 goals0%
SpartansForfar Athletic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
SpartansForfar Athletic
17%BTTS in both halves0%
SpartansForfar Athletic
33%Scored in both halves17%
SpartansForfar Athletic

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
SpartansForfar Athletic
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS50%
SpartansForfar Athletic
60%BTTS - last 540%
SpartansForfar Athletic

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
SpartansForfar Athletic
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
SpartansForfar Athletic
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SpartansForfar Athletic

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
SpartansForfar Athletic
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
SpartansForfar Athletic
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
SpartansForfar Athletic

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forfar Athletic is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Spartans · 1.33 pts / match - Forfar Athletic

Spartans - half-time state
17% leading17% draw67% trailing
Forfar Athletic - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.33
SpartansForfar Athletic
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.67
SpartansForfar Athletic
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
SpartansForfar Athletic
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.33
SpartansForfar Athletic
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
SpartansForfar Athletic
67%No goal before half-time50%
SpartansForfar Athletic

After half-time (2nd half)

2.5Points per match (2nd half)1
SpartansForfar Athletic
2Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
SpartansForfar Athletic
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
SpartansForfar Athletic
3Average goals (2nd half)1
SpartansForfar Athletic
17%Clean sheet after half-time50%
SpartansForfar Athletic
17%No goal after half-time67%
SpartansForfar Athletic

Spartans - second-half results

83% W0% D17% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forfar Athletic - second-half results

17% W50% D33% L
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Spartans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.40
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.22.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Forfar Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Spartans
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
10
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Forfar Athletic
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Spartans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.7
Late goals
71% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
71%

Forfar Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

SpartansLigaForfar Athletic
Average goals in match▲ 4.173.20▼ 2.33
Both teams scored▲ 67%50%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%63%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 17%25%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%80%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%87%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.20
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.83
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+34%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. SpartansGoalMark StoweAssist: Mark McNulty
  2. SpartansYellow cardJordan Tapping
  3. SpartansGoalCameron RussellAssist: Mark McNulty
  4. SpartansGoalMark StoweAssist: James Craigen
  5. SpartansYellow cardBradley Whyte
  6. SpartansYellow cardMatthew Mudie
  7. Forfar AthleticSubstitutionOn: Callum WilsonOff: Martin Rennie
  8. Forfar AthleticSubstitutionOn: Aiden HaddowOff: Ethan Crombie
  9. SpartansSubstitutionOn: Benjamin HealeOff: Ethan Drysdale
  10. Forfar AthleticGoalLuca PerrieAssist: Aaron Arnott
  11. SpartansGoalCameron RussellAssist: Benjamin Heale
  12. SpartansGoalMark StoweAssist: James Craigen
  13. SpartansSubstitutionOn: Mackenzie RossOff: Cameron Russell

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Spartans 2 - 2 - 0 Forfar Athletic. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Forfar Athletic FC
1 : 1
Spartans FC
Spartans FC
1 : 0
Forfar Athletic FC
Forfar Athletic FC
1 : 1
Spartans FC
Spartans FC
1 : 0
Forfar Athletic FC

FAQ

What was the result of Spartans vs Forfar Athletic?

The League Two match finished Spartans 5:1 Forfar Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Spartans and Forfar Athletic?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Spartans won 2, Forfar Athletic won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Spartans vs Forfar Athletic?

Spartans score 2.33 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.00. The League Two average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Spartans's matches and 33% of Forfar Athletic's.

What form are Spartans and Forfar Athletic in?

Over the last 5 games Spartans have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spartans vs Forfar Athletic?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.