Spezia vs Atalanta II: match statistics
Spezia vs Atalanta II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spezia played Atalanta II in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Spezia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Atalanta II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spezia scores 1.73 and concedes 0.45 goals per match. Atalanta II scores 1.18 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spezia 45%, Atalanta II 55%. Over 2.5: Spezia 36%, Atalanta II 55%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Atalanta II has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.54. Spezia: 13.3 shots per match, Atalanta II: 15.0.
Match halves
Spezia: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.00. Atalanta II: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Spezia: 31-45+ (4 goals). Atalanta II: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spezia are the favourites: they win 80% of their home matches and are yet to suffer a defeat, while Atalanta II lose 67% of their away games. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 2 goals; over the same period, the visitors have lost 4 times and conceded 8. Spezia average 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded at home, while Atalanta II score 1 goal and concede 1.5 per away match. Although the visitors' away xG is 1.50, close to Spezia's home xG of 1.54, they convert just 7% of their shots compared with the hosts' 14% and fail to score in half of their away matches. These differences in finishing and defensive performance point to a Spezia win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Atalanta II: they failed to score in 50% of their away matches and averaged just 0.8 goals across their last five games. Spezia conceded only 0.4 goals per match over the same period, increasing the likelihood that the visitors will fail to find the net. On the other hand, the hosts have not kept a clean sheet in any home match, and both teams scored in 75% of their home games. However, this assessment is balanced by Atalanta II’s 33% away rate for such matches and the fact that the figure was 40% for both teams across their last five games, so BTTS - No has a slight edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in any of Spezia’s matches to date and in only 17% of Atalanta II’s matches. In their last five games, Spezia conceded a total of 2 goals, while its matches averaged 1.8 goals, reinforcing the forecast of a moderate goal total. The visitors averaged 0.8 goals scored over this period and failed to score in 50% of their season matches, so their contribution to the scoreline may be limited. Although the teams’ season xG figures are 1.58 and 1.50, respectively, their actual scoring averages are lower—1.25 and 1.00 goals. A forecast of 2.35 goals favors Under 3.5 without requiring the assumption that the match will finish with a very low score.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Spezia win: the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their 4 matches, while both teams went into half-time level 3 times each in their last 5 games. Spezia have won 4 of their last 5 matches, whereas Atalanta II have lost 4, clearly shifting the forecast for the full-time result in the hosts’ favour. A post-break turnaround is also supported by the fact that Spezia have scored an average of 0.8 goals in the second half over their last 5 matches and have won that half in 60% of cases. A Spezia lead at the break is also a realistic scenario, but it occurred only twice in their last 5 matches, so I rate X/1 slightly higher than 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spezia | Atalanta II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spezia is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Spezia · 1.2 pts / match - Atalanta II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spezia is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Spezia · 1.18 goals / match - Atalanta II
Spezia is 222% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.45 goals / match - Spezia · 1.45 goals / match - Atalanta II
Spezia scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Atalanta II keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
Atalanta II scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spezia
Over / Under - Atalanta II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spezia is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - Spezia · 1.09 pts / match - Atalanta II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atalanta II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spezia
Atalanta II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Spezia | Liga | Atalanta II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.18 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 44% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 28% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 70% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atalanta IIYellow cardIsaac Collins Isoa
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Spezia vs Atalanta II?
The Serie C Group B match finished Spezia 2:1 Atalanta II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spezia vs Atalanta II?
Spezia score 1.73 goals per game on average and Atalanta II 1.18. The Serie C Group B average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Spezia's matches and 55% of Atalanta II's.
What form are Spezia and Atalanta II in?
Over the last 5 games Spezia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Atalanta II 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spezia vs Atalanta II?
The statistical background for Spezia vs Atalanta II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.