Spezia vs Frosinone: match statistics
Frosinone are the clear favorites in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and only 3 losses this season. The visitors show effectiveness away from home with a 54% win rate and a positive goal difference (+9), scoring an average of 1.69 goals per away match. Spezia find themselves in a difficult situation in 18th place, with only 25% of home wins and a negative goal difference (-5) in home matches. The hosts' form is concerning – only 1 win in their last 5 matches and averaging just 0.83 goals scored per home game. Frosinone have better statistics in every aspect: more shots on target (5.08 vs 3.75), a higher conversion rate (11% vs 9%), and better recent form. All data points to a certain away win, although a draw cannot be completely ruled out due to Frosinone's 38% draw rate in away matches.
Spezia vs Frosinone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spezia played Frosinone in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Spezia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Frosinone: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spezia scores 0.83 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Frosinone scores 1.83 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spezia 50%, Frosinone 54%. Over 2.5: Spezia 33%, Frosinone 54%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Frosinone has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.26. Spezia: 10.8 shots per match, Frosinone: 16.0.
Match halves
Spezia: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.42. Frosinone: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Spezia: 76-90+ (7 goals). Frosinone: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Frosinone are the clear favorites in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and only 3 losses this season. The visitors show effectiveness away from home with a 54% win rate and a positive goal difference (+9), scoring an average of 1.69 goals per away match. Spezia find themselves in a difficult situation in 18th place, with only 25% of home wins and a negative goal difference (-5) in home matches. The hosts' form is concerning – only 1 win in their last 5 matches and averaging just 0.83 goals scored per home game. Frosinone have better statistics in every aspect: more shots on target (5.08 vs 3.75), a higher conversion rate (11% vs 9%), and better recent form. All data points to a certain away win, although a draw cannot be completely ruled out due to Frosinone's 38% draw rate in away matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spezia | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Frosinone is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Spezia · 1.6 pts / match - Frosinone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Frosinone is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Spezia · 1.83 goals / match - Frosinone
Frosinone is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Spezia · 0.92 goals / match - Frosinone
Spezia scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Frosinone keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Frosinone scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spezia
Over / Under - Frosinone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Frosinone is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Spezia · 2 pts / match - Frosinone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Frosinone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spezia
Frosinone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Spezia | Liga | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Spezia 0 - 0 - 1 Frosinone. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spezia vs Frosinone?
The Serie B match finished Spezia 0:2 Frosinone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spezia vs Frosinone?
Spezia score 0.83 goals per game on average and Frosinone 1.83. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Spezia's matches and 54% of Frosinone's.
What form are Spezia and Frosinone in?
Over the last 5 games Spezia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Frosinone 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spezia vs Frosinone?
The statistical background for Spezia vs Frosinone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.