Spezia vs Gubbio: match statistics
Spezia vs Gubbio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spezia played Gubbio in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Spezia: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Gubbio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spezia scores 1.88 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Gubbio scores 1.25 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spezia 50%, Gubbio 63%. Over 2.5: Spezia 50%, Gubbio 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Spezia has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.17. Spezia: 13.9 shots per match, Gubbio: 8.6.
Match halves
Spezia: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.25. Gubbio: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Spezia: 61-75 (4 goals). Gubbio: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spezia have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 2, while Gubbio have won 1 of their 5 games and conceded 9 goals. At home, the hosts average 2 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per match, while the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away from home. Spezia’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG is 1.55, while Gubbio allow chances worth an average xG of 2.17 away from home. Gubbio’s away xG, meanwhile, is just 0.96, and the team have failed to score in half of those matches. These differences in form, defensive performance and chance creation clearly point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Spezia have averaged 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, while Gubbio conceded 1.8 goals over that period, making a goal from the hosts seem likely. The greater uncertainty is whether the visitors will score: they failed to find the net in half of the matches considered, and their average xG is 0.96 compared with Spezia’s 1.37. The hosts have conceded just 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 fixtures, while Gubbio have averaged 1.0 goals scored. Although the season-long rate of matches in which both teams scored stands at 75% for Spezia and 50% for Gubbio, the hosts’ current defensive form tips the prediction towards BTTS - No: a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: both teams cleared this line in 100% of their matches included in the season statistics. Spezia averaged 1.25 goals scored, while Gubbio conceded 2.00, pointing to goals from the home side. In their last five matches, Spezia averaged 2.2 goals scored, while Gubbio conceded 1.8; the home side’s advantage is also supported by their xG of 1.65 compared with the 1.95 xG conceded by their opponents. An estimated 3.00 goals in the match also favors the Over 2.5 line, but Spezia cleared it in 75% of their matches and Gubbio in only 50%, making the Over 1.5 line the clearer signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest case is for a draw at half-time and a Spezia win: the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded no goals before half-time in any of them. After the break, they scored an average of 1.4 goals and won the second half in 4 of those 5 matches, while Gubbio scored an average of just 0.4 goals in the second half. Spezia have won all 5 of their last matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while Gubbio lost 3 of 5 and conceded an average of 1.8 goals. Spezia leading at the break remains a realistic alternative, as Gubbio conceded an average of 1.2 goals in the first halves of its last five matches. However, the hosts’ more frequent half-time draws and clear advantage after the break make X/1 the most likely HT/FT pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spezia | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spezia is 275% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Spezia · 0.8 pts / match - Gubbio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spezia is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - Spezia · 1.25 goals / match - Gubbio
Spezia is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Spezia · 2 goals / match - Gubbio
Spezia scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
Gubbio scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spezia
Over / Under - Gubbio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spezia is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Spezia · 1 pts / match - Gubbio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 88%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spezia
Gubbio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Spezia | Liga | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.51 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Spezia vs Gubbio?
The Serie C Group B match finished Spezia 2:0 Gubbio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spezia vs Gubbio?
Spezia score 1.88 goals per game on average and Gubbio 1.25. The Serie C Group B average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Spezia's matches and 63% of Gubbio's.
What form are Spezia and Gubbio in?
Over the last 5 games Spezia have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Gubbio 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spezia vs Gubbio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.