Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of 08 September 2026

Spezia vs Livorno: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Spezia vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Spezia play Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 12 September 2026.

Current form

Spezia: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Livorno: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.

Goal statistics

Spezia scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Livorno scores 1.00 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Spezia 67%, Livorno 33%. Over 2.5: Spezia 33%, Livorno 33%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Spezia has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.07. Spezia: 10.0 shots per match, Livorno: 8.3.

Match halves

Spezia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Livorno: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Spezia: 61-75 (3 goals). Livorno: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match1
SpeziaLivorno
0.67Goals conceded / match0.33
SpeziaLivorno
64%Average possession45%
SpeziaLivorno
4.33Shots on target / match4
SpeziaLivorno

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10Shots per match8.33
SpeziaLivorno
4.33Shots on target4
SpeziaLivorno
13.3%Shot conversion12%
SpeziaLivorno
64%Possession45%
SpeziaLivorno
1.37xG for1.07
SpeziaLivorno
0.93xG against1.5
SpeziaLivorno

Shooting quality

Spezia: Efficient finishingLivorno: Counter-attacking
SpeziaLivorno
Accuracy (shots on target)43%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Spezia
DWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 33%
Livorno
WDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Spezia is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Spezia · 1 goals / match - Livorno

Livorno is 103% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Spezia · 0.33 goals / match - Livorno

Spezia scoring profile: strong

Spezia scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

Livorno scoring profile: strong

Livorno scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)3
SpeziaLivorno
2Goals conceded (season)1
SpeziaLivorno
2Average goals in match1.33
SpeziaLivorno
4Goals scored (last 5)3
SpeziaLivorno
2Goals conceded (last 5)1
SpeziaLivorno

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
SpeziaLivorno
33%2 goals33%
SpeziaLivorno
0%3 goals0%
SpeziaLivorno
0%4 goals0%
SpeziaLivorno

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal33%
SpeziaLivorno
0%2 goals0%
SpeziaLivorno
0%3 goals0%
SpeziaLivorno
0%4 goals0%
SpeziaLivorno

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
SpeziaLivorno
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SpeziaLivorno
0%Scored in both halves33%
SpeziaLivorno

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
SpeziaLivorno
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SpeziaLivorno
67%BTTS - last 533%
SpeziaLivorno

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
SpeziaLivorno
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
SpeziaLivorno
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SpeziaLivorno

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
SpeziaLivorno
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
SpeziaLivorno
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
SpeziaLivorno

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Spezia is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Spezia · 1 pts / match - Livorno

Spezia - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Livorno - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1
SpeziaLivorno
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.33
SpeziaLivorno
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
SpeziaLivorno
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.67
SpeziaLivorno
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
SpeziaLivorno
67%No goal before half-time67%
SpeziaLivorno

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)2.33
SpeziaLivorno
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
SpeziaLivorno
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0
SpeziaLivorno
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.67
SpeziaLivorno
67%Clean sheet after half-time100%
SpeziaLivorno
33%No goal after half-time33%
SpeziaLivorno

Spezia - second-half results

67% W0% R33% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Livorno - second-half results

67% W33% R0% P
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Spezia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.332.00
Goals scored / match0.31.0
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match0.71.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 0% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Livorno - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.33
Goals scored / match0.30.7
Goals conceded / match0.30.0
Average goals in match0.70.7
1 goal33%67%
2 goals33%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%100%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Spezia
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
3
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Livorno
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
67%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Spezia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Livorno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
21%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

SpeziaLigaLivorno
Average goals in match 2.002.47 1.33
Both teams scored 67%50% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%47% 33%
Clean sheets 33%32% 67%
Goal before half-time 67%67% 33%
Goal after half-time 100%73% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+84%
Home attack advantage
+46%
Home defence advantage
+40%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Spezia and Livorno play?

Spezia face Livorno on 12 September 2026 in Serie C Group B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Spezia vs Livorno?

Spezia score 1.33 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.00. The Serie C Group B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Spezia's matches and 33% of Livorno's.

What form are Spezia and Livorno in?

Over the last 5 games Spezia have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Livorno 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spezia vs Livorno?

The statistical background for Spezia vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.