Spezia vs Reggiana: match statistics
Analysis of statistics indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Spezia presents poor home form with only 23% victories and a dramatic winless streak in the last 5 matches, making the hosts unpredictable. Reggiana, despite slightly better recent form (1.2 PPG), has a dismal away record with 62% losses and only 15% victories on the road. Both teams have similar rates of failure to score (31% FTS) and close average xG, confirming their offensive limitations. The goal difference of both teams in their respective matches (Spezia -7 at home, Reggiana -9 away) and the tendency to draw in recent meetings argue for a split of points. Considering the weakness of both teams and their difficulties in scoring goals, a 1:1 or 0:0 draw seems the most realistic scenario.
Spezia vs Reggiana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spezia played Reggiana in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Spezia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Reggiana: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spezia scores 0.88 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Reggiana scores 1.08 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spezia 50%, Reggiana 65%. Over 2.5: Spezia 35%, Reggiana 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Spezia has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.18. Spezia: 10.6 shots per match, Reggiana: 10.7.
Match halves
Spezia: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.46. Reggiana: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Spezia: 76-90+ (7 goals). Reggiana: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Analysis of statistics indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Spezia presents poor home form with only 23% victories and a dramatic winless streak in the last 5 matches, making the hosts unpredictable. Reggiana, despite slightly better recent form (1.2 PPG), has a dismal away record with 62% losses and only 15% victories on the road. Both teams have similar rates of failure to score (31% FTS) and close average xG, confirming their offensive limitations. The goal difference of both teams in their respective matches (Spezia -7 at home, Reggiana -9 away) and the tendency to draw in recent meetings argue for a split of points. Considering the weakness of both teams and their difficulties in scoring goals, a 1:1 or 0:0 draw seems the most realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spezia | Reggiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Reggiana is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Spezia · 1.2 pts / match - Reggiana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Reggiana is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Spezia · 1.08 goals / match - Reggiana
Spezia is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Spezia · 1.38 goals / match - Reggiana
Spezia scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Reggiana keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Reggiana scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spezia
Over / Under - Reggiana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reggiana is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Spezia · 1.04 pts / match - Reggiana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Reggiana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spezia
Reggiana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Spezia | Liga | Reggiana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.48 | • 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Spezia 0 - 1 - 0 Reggiana. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spezia vs Reggiana?
The Serie B match finished Spezia 0:1 Reggiana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spezia vs Reggiana?
Spezia score 0.88 goals per game on average and Reggiana 1.08. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Spezia's matches and 65% of Reggiana's.
What form are Spezia and Reggiana in?
Over the last 5 games Spezia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Reggiana 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spezia vs Reggiana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Spezia vs Reggiana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.