Spokane Velocity vs Naples: match statistics
Spokane Velocity vs Naples: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spokane Velocity play Naples in USL League One (United States). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Spokane Velocity: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Naples: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spokane Velocity scores 1.19 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Naples scores 1.06 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spokane Velocity 44%, Naples 41%. Over 2.5: Spokane Velocity 56%, Naples 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Naples has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.40. Spokane Velocity: 11.8 shots per match, Naples: 12.0.
Match halves
Spokane Velocity: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.44. Naples: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Spokane Velocity: 31-45+ (5 goals). Naples: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Spokane Velocity possesses a clear offensive advantage at home: averaging 2.5 goals per game with 10.75 shots and 4 on target, whereas Naples scores 1.0 goals away with 6.5 shots and 2.5 on target. The hosts’ efficiency is also visible in a 23% shot conversion rate versus 15% for the visitors and a higher xG — 1.36 xG for Spokane compared to 0.94 xG for Naples — indicating higher-quality chances. Form and results reinforce the home side’s edge: Spokane has won 100% of home matches (home run 'wwww'), scored 7 goals in the last 5 fixtures and averages 1.6 points per game, while Naples has just 1 win in the last 5, 4 goals scored and 0.8 points per game with 9 goals conceded. The visitors do show some defensive strengths on the road — conceding 0.5 goals on average and keeping 50% clean sheets — but lower xG and fewer shots limit their attacking threat. Considering the concrete numerical advantages (2.5 vs 1.0 goals, 10.75 vs 6.5 shots, 23% vs 15% conversion) I predict a home victory; estimated probabilities are 65% Spokane, 20% draw and 15% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spokane Velocity | Naples | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spokane Velocity is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Spokane Velocity · 1.06 goals / match - Naples
Spokane Velocity is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Spokane Velocity · 1.59 goals / match - Naples
Spokane Velocity scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Naples keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Naples scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Spokane Velocity
Over / Under — Naples
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spokane Velocity is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Spokane Velocity · 1.35 pts / match - Naples
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spokane Velocity - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Naples - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spokane Velocity
Naples
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Spokane Velocity | Liga | Naples | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Spokane Velocity 1 - 0 - 1 Naples. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spokane Velocity vs Naples?
The USL League One match finished Spokane Velocity 2:1 Naples. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Spokane Velocity and Naples?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Spokane Velocity won 1, Naples won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Spokane Velocity vs Naples?
Spokane Velocity score 1.19 goals per game on average and Naples 1.06. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Spokane Velocity's matches and 41% of Naples's.
What form are Spokane Velocity and Naples in?
Over the last 5 games Spokane Velocity have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Naples 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spokane Velocity vs Naples?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.