Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine: match statistics
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spokane Velocity played Portland Hearts of Pine in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Spokane Velocity: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Portland Hearts of Pine: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spokane Velocity scores 1.46 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Portland Hearts of Pine scores 1.43 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spokane Velocity 54%, Portland Hearts of Pine 79%. Over 2.5: Spokane Velocity 62%, Portland Hearts of Pine 64%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Spokane Velocity has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.40. Spokane Velocity: 12.0 shots per match, Portland Hearts of Pine: 11.7.
Match halves
Spokane Velocity: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.81. Portland Hearts of Pine: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Spokane Velocity: 46-60 (8 goals). Portland Hearts of Pine: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spokane Velocity have won 71% of their home matches, while Portland Hearts of Pine have claimed victory in just 14% of their away games. The hosts average 1.93 goals scored and 1.21 conceded at home, while the visitors score 1.43 goals and concede as many as 2.00 per away match. Spokane’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG stands at 1.44, whereas Portland allow chances worth an average of 2.11 xG on the road. In their last five matches, the hosts have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, conceding 7 goals; the visitors have also won twice, but have lost 2 matches and conceded 9 goals. Portland’s high 43% away-draw rate leaves room for an upset, but Spokane’s superior home scoring and defensive record point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams saw goals at both ends in 79% of their matches this season, well above the league average of 61%. In their last 5 matches, that rate remained at 80% for both teams, so the signal is not based solely on the earlier part of the season. Spokane average 1.43 goals scored per match, while Portland concede 2.00; Portland, in turn, score an average of 1.43 goals, with Spokane conceding 1.57. The home side kept a clean sheet in just 14% of matches and the visitors in 7%, increasing the likelihood that both teams will score. The risk to the pick is that Portland failed to score in 21% of their matches; however, their average xG of 1.21, compared with Spokane’s 1.60 xG conceded, points to an away goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In both teams’ matches this season, at least 2 goals were scored in 86% of cases, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal among the lines analyzed. Spokane average 1.43 goals per match, while Portland concede 2.00, which favors goals for the home side; additionally, Spokane’s xG is 1.59 compared with the 2.11 xG conceded by the visitors. Portland also average 1.43 goals scored, while Spokane concede 1.57, so contributions from both teams are likely. Over their last 5 matches, both teams averaged 3.0 total goals, and Over 2.5 landed in 60% of matches for each. The 3.15-goal forecast also points to an advantage for Over 2.5, but the 1.5 line offers a clearly higher probability of landing.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Spokane Velocity win. Portland kept a clean sheet in the first half in 69% of matches and conceded an average of just 0.38 goals before the break, making it difficult for the hosts to take an early lead. The balance could shift in Spokane’s favor after the break: across their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded in the second half, while Portland averaged 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Spokane won the second half in four of those five matches, compared with Portland’s one. The hosts’ stronger season-long xG also supports a full-time win: 1.59 compared with their opponents’ 1.21, as well as an average xG of 2.11 from the chances Portland conceded.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spokane Velocity | Portland Hearts of Pine | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spokane Velocity is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Spokane Velocity · 1.4 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spokane Velocity is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Spokane Velocity · 1.79 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Spokane Velocity scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Portland Hearts of Pine keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
Portland Hearts of Pine scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spokane Velocity
Over / Under - Portland Hearts of Pine
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spokane Velocity is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Spokane Velocity · 1.11 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spokane Velocity - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Portland Hearts of Pine - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spokane Velocity
Portland Hearts of Pine
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Spokane Velocity | Liga | Portland Hearts of Pine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 60% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Spokane Velocity 0 - 2 - 2 Portland Hearts of Pine. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
The USL League One match finished Spokane Velocity 3:3 Portland Hearts of Pine. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Spokane Velocity and Portland Hearts of Pine?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Spokane Velocity won 0, Portland Hearts of Pine won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Spokane Velocity score 1.46 goals per game on average and Portland Hearts of Pine 1.43. The USL League One average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Spokane Velocity's matches and 79% of Portland Hearts of Pine's.
What form are Spokane Velocity and Portland Hearts of Pine in?
Over the last 5 games Spokane Velocity have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Portland Hearts of Pine 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
The statistical background for Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.