Sport Huancayo vs Atlético Grau: match statistics
Sport Huancayo vs Atlético Grau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sport Huancayo played Atlético Grau in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 25 July 2026. Venue: Estadio Huancayo. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Sport Huancayo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atlético Grau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sport Huancayo scores 1.22 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Atlético Grau scores 0.83 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sport Huancayo 78%, Atlético Grau 33%. Over 2.5: Sport Huancayo 78%, Atlético Grau 33%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Sport Huancayo has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.34. Sport Huancayo: 12.9 shots per match, Atlético Grau: 11.9.
Match halves
Sport Huancayo: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67. Atlético Grau: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Sport Huancayo: 61-75 (6 goals). Atlético Grau: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Sport Huancayo). The hosts average 1.5 goals per home match, while Atlético Grau score only 0.44 goals away; the hosts’ home xG is 1.74 versus the visitors’ 1.07 away xG, indicating higher quality of created chances. Additionally, Sport register on average 5.25 shots on target and 16.5 attempts per home game with 55% possession, while the visitors have 3.11 on target, 9.78 attempts and 44% possession away, which limits their creative potential. Defensively the hosts concede only 0.81 xG against and 1.13 goals per home match, whereas Atlético have 1.6 xG against and concede 1.33 goals per away game; the visitors also fail to score in 67% of away matches and have a 67% loss rate on the road. Although Atlético have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 1.8 points per game in that period, and Huancayo have only 1 win and 0.8 points per game in the last 5, the superiority of the hosts’ offensive stats and xG leads me to rate their chances at 65%, draw 20% and the visitors’ win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Atlético Grau scores an average of 0.44 goals per match and fails to score in 67% of its games, which significantly reduces the likelihood of BTTS. Sport Huancayo at home averages 1.22 goals scored and concedes 0.78, keeping a clean sheet in 44% of home matches; the hosts also have higher xG of 1.61 and create more chances (avg. 14.0 shots and 5.44 shots on target) than the visitors (xG 1.07, 9.78 shots, 3.11 on target). In the short term Huancayo has 100% BTTS in the last 5 matches (7 scored and 11 conceded, avg. 1.4 and 2.2), while Atlético Grau in the last 5 matches scored 6 and conceded 4 (avg. 1.2 and 0.8) and had BTTS in 40%. The league-wide rate is 57% BTTS, which slightly increases the probability of both teams scoring, but the season BTTS shares for the teams (44% for Huancayo and 22% for Grau) and the visitors’ very low finishing efficiency (shot conversion 5% with xG 1.07) give a stronger signal that the away side may fail to score. Consequently I recommend a "No" (No Goal / clean sheet expected) with a probability estimate of 65% versus 35% for "Yes" (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 2.68 (1.61 for Sport Huancayo + 1.07 for Atlético Grau), which is almost identical to the league average of 2.67 and indicates potential for at least 2–3 goals. Sport Huancayo has a clear advantage in chance creation: on average 14.0 shots and 5.44 on target per match versus the opponent’s 9.78 and 3.11, and in the last 5 matches Huancayo has recorded Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games. Seasonally both teams have only 44% of matches over 1.5 goals, but Atlético Grau scores 0.44 goals per game against an xG of 1.07 and has improved to 1.2 goals in the last 5 matches (6 goals), so they can add a strike. Based on this I forecast 1.70 goals for the home side and 0.95 for the away side (total 2.65); a Poisson model with these lambdas yields ~74% probability for Over 1.5 and ~50% for Over 2.5. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5), given the hosts’ offensive advantage and the high 74% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season statistics clearly favor Sport Huancayo: the hosts average 1.22 goals per game versus Atlético Grau’s 0.44, have higher xG (1.61 vs 1.07) and concede fewer goals (0.78 vs 1.33). At half-time Huancayo led in 5 matches (56%) and score an average of 0.67 goals in first halves while conceding only 0.11, indicating a high probability of a lead at the break. The hosts also register more shots (14 vs 9.78), more shots on target (5.44 vs 3.11) and better conversion (9% vs 5%), increasing their chances of maintaining a lead. For these reasons the strongest signal is Half-Time/Full-Time home lead and win (1/1) — I assign it a 39% probability. Secondary options are draw at half-time with Huancayo winning (X/1 — 17%) or draw/draw (X/X — 12%), while scenarios with the visitors leading at half-time are unlikely (11% total) due to their low average points per match (0.56) and average goals per match (0.44).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sport Huancayo | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Grau is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Sport Huancayo · 1.8 pts / match - Atlético Grau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sport Huancayo is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Sport Huancayo · 0.83 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Atlético Grau is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Sport Huancayo · 1.06 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Sport Huancayo scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Atlético Grau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Atlético Grau scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while Sport Huancayo keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sport Huancayo
Over / Under - Atlético Grau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Grau is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Sport Huancayo · 1.39 pts / match - Atlético Grau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sport Huancayo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Grau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sport Huancayo
Atlético Grau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Sport Huancayo | Liga | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.06 | 2.67 | ▼ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 58% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Sport Huancayo 1 - 1 - 1 Atlético Grau. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sport Huancayo vs Atlético Grau?
The Primera División match finished Sport Huancayo 2:0 Atlético Grau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sport Huancayo and Atlético Grau?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sport Huancayo won 1, Atlético Grau won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sport Huancayo vs Atlético Grau?
Sport Huancayo score 1.22 goals per game on average and Atlético Grau 0.83. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Sport Huancayo's matches and 33% of Atlético Grau's.
What form are Sport Huancayo and Atlético Grau in?
Over the last 5 games Sport Huancayo have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético Grau 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sport Huancayo vs Atlético Grau?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sport Huancayo vs Atlético Grau: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.