Brazil - Serie BEstádio Adelmar da Costa CarvalhoData current as of 15 October 2026

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sport Recife vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sport Recife play Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.

Current form

Sport Recife: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fortaleza: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sport Recife scores 1.36 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.18 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.35 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sport Recife 67%, Fortaleza 45%. Over 2.5: Sport Recife 52%, Fortaleza 36%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.44. Sport Recife: 14.2 shots per match, Fortaleza: 14.2.

Match halves

Sport Recife: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.82. Fortaleza: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Sport Recife: 76-90+ (15 goals). Fortaleza: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.22)
(3.20)
(3.05)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.36Goals scored / match1.18
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.06Goals conceded / match0.88
Sport RecifeFortaleza
54%Average possession50%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
4.21Shots on target / match4.09
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.21Shots per match14.21
Sport RecifeFortaleza
4.21Shots on target4.09
Sport RecifeFortaleza
9.6%Shot conversion8.3%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
54%Possession50%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.44xG for1.49
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.58xG against1.4
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Shooting quality

Sport Recife: AttackingFortaleza: Attacking
Sport RecifeFortaleza
Accuracy (shots on target)30%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sport Recife is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Sport Recife · 1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza

Sport Recife
WLWWD
Season result split
39% W36% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-12-8
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-7-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Fortaleza
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W36% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-12-6
1.73 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-5
Last 5 away
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sport Recife is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Sport Recife · 1.18 goals / match - Fortaleza

Fortaleza is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.06 goals / match - Sport Recife · 0.88 goals / match - Fortaleza

Sport Recife scoring profile: very strong

Sport Recife scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).

Fortaleza scoring profile: very strong

Fortaleza scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Sport Recife keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).

45Goals scored (season)39
Sport RecifeFortaleza
35Goals conceded (season)29
Sport RecifeFortaleza
2.42Average goals in match2.06
Sport RecifeFortaleza
8Goals scored (last 5)8
Sport RecifeFortaleza
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
Sport RecifeFortaleza

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal76%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
39%2 goals30%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
9%3 goals9%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0%4 goals3%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal58%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
30%2 goals21%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
6%3 goals6%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0%4 goals3%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
21%Scored in both halves18%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
100%BTTS - last 580%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortaleza is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Sport Recife · 1.58 pts / match - Fortaleza

Sport Recife - half-time state
30% leading42% draw27% trailing
Fortaleza - half-time state
39% leading39% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.58
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.61
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.12
Sport RecifeFortaleza
55%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
61%No goal before half-time48%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.39Average goals (2nd half)0.94
Sport RecifeFortaleza
52%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
30%No goal after half-time58%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Sport Recife - second-half results

30% W55% D15% L
44
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fortaleza - second-half results

30% W48% D21% L
52
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sport Recife - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Fortaleza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.80
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sport Recife
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
6
9
16-30
8
6
31-45
7
4
46-60
5
5
61-75
15
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
6
2
16-30
10
10
31-45
6
7
46-60
2
3
61-75
11
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.24
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sport Recife

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Sport RecifeLigaFortaleza
Average goals in match• 2.422.35▼ 2.06
Both teams scored▲ 67%47%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 52%43%▼ 36%
Clean sheets• 30%30%▲ 42%
Goal before half-time• 67%68%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time▲ 76%74%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Sport Recife 0 - 1 - 2 Fortaleza. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Fortaleza
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1 : 0
SC do Recife
SC do Recife
0 : 0
Fortaleza EC

FAQ

When do Sport Recife and Fortaleza play?

Sport Recife face Fortaleza on 16 October 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sport Recife and Fortaleza?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 0, Fortaleza won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sport Recife vs Fortaleza?

Sport Recife score 1.36 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.18. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Sport Recife's matches and 45% of Fortaleza's.

What form are Sport Recife and Fortaleza in?

Over the last 5 games Sport Recife have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fortaleza 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza?

The statistical background for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.