Sporting Braga II vs Paredes: match statistics
Paredes are top of the table and in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches while scoring 10 goals during this period. The visitors are effective in away matches (40% win rate, 14% conversion rate) and have a solid defense, conceding an average of just 1 goal per game. Sporting Braga II boast an impressive home record (67% win rate), but their recent overall form is concerning (only 1 point per match in their last 5 games). Paredes' xG advantage (1.38 vs 1.23 for the hosts) and significantly better form in recent weeks point to an away win. Considering all factors, especially both teams' current form and Paredes' league-leading position, I slightly favor an away win, although Braga II's strong home performance makes this an open contest.
Sporting Braga II vs Paredes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting Braga II played Paredes in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sporting Braga II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Paredes: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting Braga II scores 0.95 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Paredes scores 1.35 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting Braga II 35%, Paredes 40%. Over 2.5: Sporting Braga II 30%, Paredes 40%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Paredes has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.08. Sporting Braga II: 7.7 shots per match, Paredes: 10.6.
Match halves
Sporting Braga II: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.65. Paredes: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Sporting Braga II: 31-45+ (5 goals). Paredes: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paredes are top of the table and in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches while scoring 10 goals during this period. The visitors are effective in away matches (40% win rate, 14% conversion rate) and have a solid defense, conceding an average of just 1 goal per game. Sporting Braga II boast an impressive home record (67% win rate), but their recent overall form is concerning (only 1 point per match in their last 5 games). Paredes' xG advantage (1.38 vs 1.23 for the hosts) and significantly better form in recent weeks point to an away win. Considering all factors, especially both teams' current form and Paredes' league-leading position, I slightly favor an away win, although Braga II's strong home performance makes this an open contest.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Braga II | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paredes is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sporting Braga II · 2.6 pts / match - Paredes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paredes is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Sporting Braga II · 1.35 goals / match - Paredes
Paredes is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Sporting Braga II · 0.65 goals / match - Paredes
Sporting Braga II scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
Paredes scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Sporting Braga II keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Braga II
Over / Under - Paredes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paredes is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Sporting Braga II · 1.95 pts / match - Paredes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Braga II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paredes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting Braga II
Paredes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Braga II | Liga | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.90 | 2.19 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sporting Braga II 1 - 0 - 1 Paredes. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Braga II vs Paredes?
The Liga 3 match finished Sporting Braga II 1:0 Paredes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Braga II and Paredes?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting Braga II won 1, Paredes won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Braga II vs Paredes?
Sporting Braga II score 0.95 goals per game on average and Paredes 1.35. The Liga 3 average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Sporting Braga II's matches and 40% of Paredes's.
What form are Sporting Braga II and Paredes in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Braga II have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paredes 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Braga II vs Paredes?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sporting Braga II vs Paredes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.