Sporting Braga vs Alverca: match statistics
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this meeting, occupying 5th place in the table with an impressive home record (50% wins, only 25% losses). The hosts possess significantly better offensive metrics in home games (1.75 goals per match, 62% possession) and a solid defense (0.88 conceded goal, 38% clean sheets). Alverca displays poor away form with 63% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match and noting only 13% draws and 25% wins. The difference in expected goals (xG 1.43 for Braga vs 0.95 for Alverca) and quality of play confirms the hosts' advantage. Braga's good form in recent matches (3 wins in 5 games) further argues for their win, although Alverca's experience in scoring away goals (1.25 per match) may ensure it won't be a clean sheet.
Sporting Braga vs Alverca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting Braga played Alverca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Sporting Braga: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Alverca: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting Braga scores 1.78 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Alverca scores 1.06 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting Braga 50%, Alverca 44%. Over 2.5: Sporting Braga 61%, Alverca 56%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.14. Sporting Braga: 13.1 shots per match, Alverca: 9.6.
Match halves
Sporting Braga: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.72. Alverca: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Sporting Braga: 31-45+ (7 goals). Alverca: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga is the clear favorite for this meeting, occupying 5th place in the table with an impressive home record (50% wins, only 25% losses). The hosts possess significantly better offensive metrics in home games (1.75 goals per match, 62% possession) and a solid defense (0.88 conceded goal, 38% clean sheets). Alverca displays poor away form with 63% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match and noting only 13% draws and 25% wins. The difference in expected goals (xG 1.43 for Braga vs 0.95 for Alverca) and quality of play confirms the hosts' advantage. Braga's good form in recent matches (3 wins in 5 games) further argues for their win, although Alverca's experience in scoring away goals (1.25 per match) may ensure it won't be a clean sheet.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Braga | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Sporting Braga · 1.2 pts / match - Alverca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Sporting Braga · 1.06 goals / match - Alverca
Sporting Braga is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Sporting Braga · 1.56 goals / match - Alverca
Sporting Braga scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Alverca scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
Over / Under - Alverca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Sporting Braga · 1 pts / match - Alverca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting Braga
Alverca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Braga | Liga | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.78 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 45% | • 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sporting Braga 1 - 0 - 0 Alverca. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Braga vs Alverca?
The Liga NOS match finished Sporting Braga 5:0 Alverca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Braga vs Alverca?
Sporting Braga score 1.78 goals per game on average and Alverca 1.06. The Liga NOS average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sporting Braga's matches and 44% of Alverca's.
What form are Sporting Braga and Alverca in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Braga have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Alverca 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Braga vs Alverca?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.