Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães: match statistics
Sporting Braga are displaying significantly better home form with a 60% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +15 in home matches. The hosts have won four of their last five home games, conceding only 2 goals in their last 5 matches overall, which points to a solid defense. Vitória Guimarães have very poor away results – 60% losses, a mere 30% win rate, and a negative goal difference of -8, while failing to score in half of their away matches. The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics: Braga generates an average of 1.55 xG at home while conceding 0.88 xG, whereas Guimarães on the road achieve 1.43 xG but concede as many as 1.31 xG. Considering all these factors, especially Braga's home advantage and the visitors' poor away form, the hosts are the clear favorites.
Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting Braga played Vitória Guimarães in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Sporting Braga: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Vitória Guimarães: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting Braga scores 2.05 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Vitória Guimarães scores 1.14 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting Braga 45%, Vitória Guimarães 41%. Over 2.5: Sporting Braga 68%, Vitória Guimarães 45%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.45. Sporting Braga: 13.1 shots per match, Vitória Guimarães: 13.6.
Match halves
Sporting Braga: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.82. Vitória Guimarães: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Sporting Braga: 16-30 (11 goals). Vitória Guimarães: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga are displaying significantly better home form with a 60% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +15 in home matches. The hosts have won four of their last five home games, conceding only 2 goals in their last 5 matches overall, which points to a solid defense. Vitória Guimarães have very poor away results – 60% losses, a mere 30% win rate, and a negative goal difference of -8, while failing to score in half of their away matches. The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics: Braga generates an average of 1.55 xG at home while conceding 0.88 xG, whereas Guimarães on the road achieve 1.43 xG but concede as many as 1.31 xG. Considering all these factors, especially Braga's home advantage and the visitors' poor away form, the hosts are the clear favorites.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Braga | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Sporting Braga · 1.2 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
2.05 goals / match - Sporting Braga · 1.14 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
Sporting Braga is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Sporting Braga · 1.41 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
Sporting Braga scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Vitória Guimarães scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Sporting Braga · 1.18 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting Braga
Vitória Guimarães
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Braga | Liga | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 56% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sporting Braga 0 - 1 - 0 Vitória Guimarães. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães?
The Liga NOS match finished Sporting Braga 3:2 Vitória Guimarães. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães?
Sporting Braga score 2.05 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães 1.14. The Liga NOS average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Sporting Braga's matches and 41% of Vitória Guimarães's.
What form are Sporting Braga and Vitória Guimarães in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Braga have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães?
The statistical background for Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.