Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas: match statistics
Sporting Covilhã are displaying poor home form with just 11% wins at home and a high draw rate (56%). The hosts score an average of only 0.56 goals per match in home games, with 56% of matches ending without a goal, indicating serious offensive issues. Caldas have a better away record with 33% wins, but their recent away form is concerning with four losses in their last five away matches. Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded per match (1.22), and their xG values are similar, suggesting a balanced contest. Considering the hosts' high tendency for draws, the poor form of both teams, and Caldas's slight overall advantage, the most likely scenario is a points split.
Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting Covilhã played Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sporting Covilhã: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Caldas: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting Covilhã scores 0.68 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Caldas scores 1.00 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting Covilhã 42%, Caldas 47%. Over 2.5: Sporting Covilhã 32%, Caldas 42%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Caldas has higher xG: 1.24 vs 0.96. Sporting Covilhã: 6.8 shots per match, Caldas: 9.1.
Match halves
Sporting Covilhã: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.37. Caldas: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Sporting Covilhã: 76-90+ (4 goals). Caldas: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Covilhã are displaying poor home form with just 11% wins at home and a high draw rate (56%). The hosts score an average of only 0.56 goals per match in home games, with 56% of matches ending without a goal, indicating serious offensive issues. Caldas have a better away record with 33% wins, but their recent away form is concerning with four losses in their last five away matches. Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded per match (1.22), and their xG values are similar, suggesting a balanced contest. Considering the hosts' high tendency for draws, the poor form of both teams, and Caldas's slight overall advantage, the most likely scenario is a points split.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Covilhã | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caldas is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sporting Covilhã · 1.2 pts / match - Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caldas is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - Sporting Covilhã · 1 goals / match - Caldas
Sporting Covilhã scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Caldas scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Sporting Covilhã keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Covilhã
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Covilhã is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Sporting Covilhã · 0.95 pts / match - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Covilhã - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting Covilhã
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Covilhã | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.95 | 2.18 | • 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 46% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 33% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sporting CovilhãSubstitutionOn: Tomás Costa Branco novais OliveiraOff: Fábio Alexandre Ferreira Cruz
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sporting Covilhã 1 - 0 - 1 Caldas. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished Sporting Covilhã 1:0 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Covilhã and Caldas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting Covilhã won 1, Caldas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas?
Sporting Covilhã score 0.68 goals per game on average and Caldas 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Sporting Covilhã's matches and 47% of Caldas's.
What form are Sporting Covilhã and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Covilhã have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Caldas 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.