Sporting CP vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Sporting CP occupies the second position in the table and is displaying impressive form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches. The hosts boast an excellent home record with a 78% win rate, scoring an average of 3.33 goals per match while conceding only 0.33. CD Nacional sits in 11th place and has poor away form – just a 20% win rate in away matches and a negative goal difference (-1). The difference in offensive quality (xG 2.31 vs 1.37) and defensive quality (xGA 0.83 vs 1.43) clearly favors the hosts. Sporting CP also maintains a 78% clean sheet rate at home, which, coupled with the visitors' poor conversion rate (8% shot conversion), further confirms their advantage. All statistical indicators point towards a decisive victory for the home side.
Sporting CP vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting CP played CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sporting CP: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. CD Nacional: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting CP scores 2.74 and concedes 0.53 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.37 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting CP 47%, CD Nacional 63%. Over 2.5: Sporting CP 68%, CD Nacional 53%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting CP has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.32. Sporting CP: 18.8 shots per match, CD Nacional: 11.9.
Match halves
Sporting CP: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.53. CD Nacional: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Sporting CP: 31-45+ (14 goals). CD Nacional: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting CP occupies the second position in the table and is displaying impressive form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches. The hosts boast an excellent home record with a 78% win rate, scoring an average of 3.33 goals per match while conceding only 0.33. CD Nacional sits in 11th place and has poor away form – just a 20% win rate in away matches and a negative goal difference (-1). The difference in offensive quality (xG 2.31 vs 1.37) and defensive quality (xGA 0.83 vs 1.43) clearly favors the hosts. Sporting CP also maintains a 78% clean sheet rate at home, which, coupled with the visitors' poor conversion rate (8% shot conversion), further confirms their advantage. All statistical indicators point towards a decisive victory for the home side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting CP | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting CP is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Sporting CP · 1 pts / match - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting CP is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2.74 goals / match - Sporting CP · 1.37 goals / match - CD Nacional
Sporting CP is 177% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.53 goals / match - Sporting CP · 1.47 goals / match - CD Nacional
Sporting CP scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
CD Nacional scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Sporting CP keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting CP
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting CP is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.21 pts / match - Sporting CP · 1.37 pts / match - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 79%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting CP
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Sporting CP | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.26 | 2.78 | • 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 44% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 30% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 73% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sporting CP 1 - 0 - 0 CD Nacional. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting CP vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Sporting CP 2:1 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting CP vs CD Nacional?
Sporting CP score 2.74 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.37. The Liga NOS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Sporting CP's matches and 63% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Sporting CP and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting CP have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting CP vs CD Nacional?
The statistical background for Sporting CP vs CD Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.