Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca: match statistics
Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting Cristal played UTC Cajamarca in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Sporting Cristal: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. UTC Cajamarca: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting Cristal scores 1.78 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. UTC Cajamarca scores 1.40 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting Cristal 78%, UTC Cajamarca 60%. Over 2.5: Sporting Cristal 78%, UTC Cajamarca 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Cristal has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.42. Sporting Cristal: 16.4 shots per match, UTC Cajamarca: 12.9.
Match halves
Sporting Cristal: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.22. UTC Cajamarca: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Sporting Cristal: 76-90+ (7 goals). UTC Cajamarca: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Cristal has a clear advantage in chance creation at home: an average of 17.8 shots and 67% possession translates to 2.0 goals per game and xG 1.9, while UTC away posts 14 shots, 55% possession, 1.6 goals and xG 1.49. Both teams share the same shot conversion rate (11%), so Cristal’s superiority in volume and xG (difference 0.41) indicates materially more clear-cut opportunities. Defensively Sporting concedes 1.4 goals at home on average versus 1.8 conceded by UTC away; the hosts have 20% of matches with a clean sheet at home, while the visitors have recorded no clean sheets on the road (0%). Additionally, Cristal have not had a home game without scoring (0% such matches), whereas UTC failed to score in 20% of their away fixtures; in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 8 and conceded 7, the visitors 6 and conceded 8, with average points in the last 5 of 1.2 for Cristal and 1.0 for UTC. Based on higher possession, greater shot volume (17.8 vs 14) and superior xG (1.9 vs 1.49), I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Primary signal for BTTS - Yes comes from the away side: UTC posts a seasonal BTTS rate of 80% and 0% clean sheets, meaning they haven’t kept a single shutout this season, which significantly raises the likelihood the home team will score. Short-form trends also favor BTTS — Sporting Cristal has 60% BTTS in their last 5, UTC 80% in the same period. Goal metrics and xG confirm this: Sporting averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded on the season (last 5: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded), while UTC averages 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded with xG 1.49 versus 1.35 for the hosts. The visitors register more shots (14.0 avg, 5.6 on target) than the hosts (11.8 and 4.6), and conversion rate is around 11% for the visitors and 10% for the hosts, increasing the probability of goals at both ends. Considering the away seasonal BTTS 80%, UTC’s lack of clean sheets and the league average BTTS 56%, I tip BTTS = Yes with a probability of 78%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are 1.35 for Sporting Cristal and 1.49 for UTC Cajamarca, total 2.84, indicating a real chance of at least 2 goals. A Poisson distribution for total xG=2.84 yields approximately 77.6% probability for Over 1.5, about 54.0% for Over 2.5 and about 31.7% for Over 3.5, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Both teams have 100% of matches with at least 0.5 goals this season, the away side has 80% of seasonal matches over 2.5, and in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 8 goals and the visitors 6, which reinforces the prospect of more goals. Additionally, shot volume (11.8 vs 14.0) and shots on target (4.6 vs 5.6) suggest UTC’s offensive activity and the possibility of exploiting Cristal’s average defense (hosts concede 0.8 goals on average). Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest and most likely pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics show the home side led at the break in 40% of matches, the score was level at half-time in 60%, and the away team never led at the break (0%). In the second half the away team demonstrate significant strength – they win the second half in 80% of matches, have a positive second-half goal difference of +2 and average 2.4 points from second halves versus 1.4 for the home team. Additionally, the away team record a higher xG (1.49 vs 1.35), register more on-target shots (5.6 vs 4.6) and have scored as many as 6 goals in minutes 76–90, while the home side conceded 3 goals in that period, indicating frequent late comebacks. Given that homes often lead at the break (40%) but the away side dominates in the second half (80% second-half wins), the strongest signal is the 1/2 scenario (lead at the break for the home team, away win at full-time) – I assign it 24%. As alternatives I consider half-time draw to away win (X/2 21%) and half-time draw to home win (X/1 21%), whereas scenarios with the away team leading at half-time are historically negligible (0%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Cristal | UTC Cajamarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Cristal is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sporting Cristal · 1 pts / match - UTC Cajamarca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Cristal is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Sporting Cristal · 1.4 goals / match - UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Sporting Cristal · 1.3 goals / match - UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while UTC Cajamarca keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
UTC Cajamarca scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Sporting Cristal keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Cristal
Over / Under - UTC Cajamarca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Cristal is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Sporting Cristal · 1.2 pts / match - UTC Cajamarca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Cristal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UTC Cajamarca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Cristal | Liga | UTC Cajamarca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.22 | 2.72 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sporting Cristal 0 - 1 - 1 UTC Cajamarca. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
The Primera División match finished Sporting Cristal 3:2 UTC Cajamarca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Cristal and UTC Cajamarca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 0, UTC Cajamarca won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
Sporting Cristal score 1.78 goals per game on average and UTC Cajamarca 1.40. The Primera División average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Sporting Cristal's matches and 60% of UTC Cajamarca's.
What form are Sporting Cristal and UTC Cajamarca in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Cristal have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and UTC Cajamarca 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.