United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 18 October 2026

Sporting JAX vs Louisville City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sporting JAX vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sporting JAX play Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 21 October 2026.

Current form

Sporting JAX: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Louisville City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sporting JAX scores 1.14 and concedes 2.64 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.75 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.70 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sporting JAX 61%, Louisville City 68%. Over 2.5: Sporting JAX 71%, Louisville City 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Louisville City has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.15. Sporting JAX: 9.5 shots per match, Louisville City: 15.4.

Match halves

Sporting JAX: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.61. Louisville City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.96.

Goals by minute

Sporting JAX: 76-90+ (8 goals). Louisville City: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sporting JAXLouisville City
1.14Goals scored / match1.75
Sporting JAXLouisville City
2.64Goals conceded / match1.54
Sporting JAXLouisville City
45%Average possession51%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
3.43Shots on target / match5.18
Sporting JAXLouisville City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.46Shots per match15.43
Sporting JAXLouisville City
3.43Shots on target5.18
Sporting JAXLouisville City
12.1%Shot conversion11.3%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
45%Possession51%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
1.15xG for1.84
Sporting JAXLouisville City
1.96xG against1.3
Sporting JAXLouisville City

Shooting quality

Sporting JAX: Counter-attackingLouisville City: Attacking
Sporting JAXLouisville City
Accuracy (shots on target)36%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sporting JAX
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
11% W18% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-20
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -42
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-9
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 2.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Louisville City
LWDWW
Season result split
43% W25% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-9
1.54 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Louisville City is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Sporting JAX · 1.75 goals / match - Louisville City

Louisville City is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.64 goals / match - Sporting JAX · 1.54 goals / match - Louisville City

Sporting JAX scoring profile: strong

Sporting JAX scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).

Louisville City scoring profile: very strong

Louisville City scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Sporting JAX keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 28 matches).

32Goals scored (season)49
Sporting JAXLouisville City
74Goals conceded (season)43
Sporting JAXLouisville City
3.79Average goals in match3.29
Sporting JAXLouisville City
2Goals scored (last 5)11
Sporting JAXLouisville City
14Goals conceded (last 5)6
Sporting JAXLouisville City

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal86%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
39%2 goals50%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
11%3 goals25%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
4%4 goals14%
Sporting JAXLouisville City

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal79%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
75%2 goals50%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
43%3 goals14%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
32%4 goals7%
Sporting JAXLouisville City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time32%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
7%BTTS in both halves14%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
21%Scored in both halves32%
Sporting JAXLouisville City

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
40%BTTS - last 580%
Sporting JAXLouisville City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
32%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Sporting JAXLouisville City

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Sporting JAXLouisville City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Louisville City is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - Sporting JAX · 1.25 pts / match - Louisville City

Sporting JAX - half-time state
21% leading21% draw57% trailing
Louisville City - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1.25
Sporting JAXLouisville City
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Sporting JAXLouisville City
1.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Sporting JAXLouisville City
1.68Average goals (1st half)1.43
Sporting JAXLouisville City
36%Clean sheet before half-time46%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
61%No goal before half-time50%
Sporting JAXLouisville City

After half-time (2nd half)

0.64Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Sporting JAXLouisville City
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
Sporting JAXLouisville City
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Sporting JAXLouisville City
2.11Average goals (2nd half)1.86
Sporting JAXLouisville City
14%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Sporting JAXLouisville City
57%No goal after half-time32%
Sporting JAXLouisville City

Sporting JAX - second-half results

14% W21% D64% L
24
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-17
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-25
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Louisville City - second-half results

39% W32% D29% L
35
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sporting JAX - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.20
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-4-8
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Louisville City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sporting JAX
ScoredConceded
5
11
0-15
4
9
16-30
6
12
31-45
5
13
46-60
4
7
61-75
8
22
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.

Louisville City
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
10
6
16-30
7
6
31-45
10
11
46-60
8
7
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
131%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-72%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sporting JAX

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.81
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
220%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Louisville City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Sporting JAXLigaLouisville City
Average goals in match▲ 3.792.70▲ 3.29
Both teams scored▲ 61%55%▲ 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%49%▲ 57%
Clean sheets▼ 0%27%▼ 21%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%66%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 93%78%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Sporting JAX 0 - 0 - 1 Louisville City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Sporting JAX and Louisville City play?

Sporting JAX face Louisville City on 21 October 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sporting JAX vs Louisville City?

Sporting JAX score 1.14 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.75. The USL Championship average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Sporting JAX's matches and 68% of Louisville City's.

What form are Sporting JAX and Louisville City in?

Over the last 5 games Sporting JAX have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Louisville City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting JAX vs Louisville City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sporting JAX vs Louisville City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.