Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: match statistics
Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting JAX played Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Sporting JAX: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting JAX scores 1.25 and concedes 2.75 goals per match. Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 2.33 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting JAX 75%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 33%. Over 2.5: Sporting JAX 75%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Tampa Bay Rowdies has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.29. Sporting JAX: 11.0 shots per match, Tampa Bay Rowdies: 17.3.
Match halves
Sporting JAX: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.67.
Goals by minute
Sporting JAX: 0-15 (1 goals). Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies are clear favorites: they sit 3rd, have 3 wins and 0 losses this season, and in the last 5 matches they recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Sporting JAX has not won this season (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses) and over the last 5 has a 0-1-4 record with a 5-13 goal differential. The visitors’ key advantage is defense — the home side concedes an average of 3.5 goals per home match and has 0% clean sheets, while the away side concedes 0 goals on average away and has 100% clean sheets; average xG is 1.51 for the visitors away versus 1.43 xG for the hosts at home, and xG against is 0.98 for the visitors versus 1.52 for the hosts. Despite greater home possession (60% vs 49%) and 4 shots on target at home versus 2 for the visitors, Sporting shows low efficiency (on average 1 goal per home match, conversion rate 7%) and failed to score in 50% of home games. Considering form (0.2 points per home match for the hosts in the last 5 vs 2.6 points per match for the visitors), the defensive edge and higher xG for the visitors, I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Sporting JAX conceded an average of 2.6 goals in their last 5 matches (13 goals in 5), while Tampa Bay Rowdies scored an average of 2.2 goals (11 goals in 5), which significantly increases the likelihood of BTTS. xG data shows the home side generates 2.07 xG per match versus 0.98 xG conceded by the away team on the season, and in the last 5 matches the visitors had 1.48 xG compared to 1.61 xG against the hosts — Sporting creates many chances but is also prone to conceding. Season-long indicators are mixed (Sporting BTTS 50% at home and Tampa BTTS 0% on the season), but the short-term form favors BTTS — both teams have 60% BTTS in the last 5 matches. Additionally, Sporting averages 8.5 shots on target and 19 shots per match versus the visitors' 2.0 shots on target and 14 shots, with a higher conversion rate 16% vs 7%, which increases the probability of goals from both sides; on this basis I assess BTTS at 70% Yes vs 30% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model combined with mutual parameters forecasts a total of approximately 2.50 expected goals: Sporting JAX ~1.53 (home xG average 2.07 and xG conceded vs away 0.98) and Tampa Bay ~0.97 (away xG average 1.51 and xG conceded vs home 0.43). Sporting at home averages 3.0 goals, records 8.5 SOT and has a conversion rate of 16%, while Tampa has only 2.0 SOT and a 7% conversion, giving a clear home advantage in chance creation. However, Tampa Bay shows 100% clean sheets in the provided seasonal data, and in the last 5 matches Tampa scored 11 and conceded 4, whereas Sporting in their last 5 scored 5 and conceded 13 — a contrast in form. Since the expected home contribution is ~1.53 goals (above the 1.5 threshold) and Sporting generates substantially more SOT (8.5 vs 2.0), the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5. Over 2.5 is moderately likely with a total ~2.50, while Over 3.5 appears unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Home data for Sporting JAX indicate a clear attacking edge: the hosts average 3.0 goals per game and have an xG of 2.07 versus the visitors’ xG of 1.51, with 8.5 shots on target compared to Tampa Bay’s 2.0. At the half level Sporting JAX led at the break in 100% of home matches (2 of 2) and average 1.0 goal by half-time, while the visitors average 0.0 HT goals, favoring a home lead after 45 minutes. Form must be considered: in their last five matches the hosts have not won once (0/5, 80% losses), whereas Tampa Bay have won 4 of 5 (80%), which reduces confidence in the projection and warrants consideration of visitor turnarounds. Nonetheless, the offensive superiority (conversion rate 16% vs 7%, 19.0 vs 14.0 total shots) and the hosts’ low average concessions (0.5 goals) make the most likely scenario a Sporting JAX lead at half and holding on to win outright (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting JAX | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.25 pts / match - Sporting JAX · 3 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Sporting JAX · 2.33 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 733% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.75 goals / match - Sporting JAX · 0.33 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Sporting JAX scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Sporting JAX keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting JAX
Over / Under - Tampa Bay Rowdies
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Sporting JAX · 2.33 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting JAX - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting JAX
Tampa Bay Rowdies
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Sporting JAX | Liga | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.60 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The USL Championship match finished Sporting JAX 0:1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Sporting JAX score 1.25 goals per game on average and Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.33. The USL Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Sporting JAX's matches and 33% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's.
What form are Sporting JAX and Tampa Bay Rowdies in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting JAX have a 0-1-3 record (0.25 points per game) and Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The statistical background for Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.