Sporting KC II vs Houston Dynamo FC II: match statistics
Sporting KC II vs Houston Dynamo FC II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting KC II played Houston Dynamo FC II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Sporting KC II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Houston Dynamo FC II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting KC II scores 1.26 and concedes 2.63 goals per match. Houston Dynamo FC II scores 2.22 and concedes 0.89. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting KC II 63%, Houston Dynamo FC II 61%. Over 2.5: Sporting KC II 79%, Houston Dynamo FC II 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Houston Dynamo FC II has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.46. Sporting KC II: 13.0 shots per match, Houston Dynamo FC II: 14.4.
Match halves
Sporting KC II: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.74. Houston Dynamo FC II: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Sporting KC II: 76-90+ (9 goals). Houston Dynamo FC II: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Houston Dynamo FC II): the team sits 2nd in the table with 12 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses this season, while Sporting KC II are 27th with 4 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. The gap in attack and defense is clear — Houston have scored 40 goals this season (1.8 away) and concede 1.3 goals on the road, whereas Sporting score only 0.8 goals per home match and concede 2.3 on average. The visitors are also more efficient in creating and converting chances: on average 6 shots on target and a 13% finishing rate away versus 4.2 shots on target and 6% finishing for the hosts; additionally, the share of matches without a goal is 0% for Houston and 50% for Sporting KC II at home. Form supports the advantage — Houston average 2.0 points per game in the last 5, Sporting 1.2, and the visitors have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches versus 13 conceded by the hosts. Based on this I assess a 65% probability of an away win, 20% for a draw and 15% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis points to a Both Teams To Score scenario: Houston posts a season BTTS of 80% versus Sporting KC II's 38%, and both teams have recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches. In the last 5 fixtures Sporting scored 9 goals (1.8 per match) and conceded 13 (2.6 per match), while Houston scored 10 (2.0) and conceded 6 (1.2), indicating the home side have been more vulnerable to conceding recently and the visitors consistently find the net. xG metrics confirm the chances trade-off: season xG_for is 1.72 (Sporting) and 1.69 (Houston), with xG_against 1.12 (Sporting) and 1.86 (Houston), so both sides generate similar expected chances, with Houston’s defense more exposed. Additionally, the league BTTS sits at 61% and over 2.5 rates are 63% (home) and 70% (away), therefore the strongest signal is BTTS - Yes (70%) versus No (30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model based on both teams’ attack and defense (home xG 1.72 and away xG 1.69; xG against: away 1.86, home 1.12) projects 1.79 goals for Sporting KC II and 1.41 for Houston Dynamo II, totaling ~3.20 goals. Seasonal metrics confirm a goal-prone trend: Sporting has Over1.5 in 100% of matches, Houston in 90%, and Over2.5 occurred in 63% of home matches and 70% of away matches (league average 66% Over2.5). Sporting averages 15 shots with an 18% conversion rate (≈2.75 goals/match in stats), Houston averages 13.9 shots with a 13% conversion (≈1.8 goals/match), which together raises the probability of at least 3 goals. In the last 5 games both teams produced Over2.5 in 80% of cases and combined for 19 goals (9 and 10), averaging 3.8 goals per match, reinforcing the Over2.5 signal. Therefore I recommend betting Over 2.5 as the strongest signal given the projected ~3.20 goals and seasonal Over2.5 rates of ~63–70%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sporting KC II led at the break in 6 of 8 matches (75%) and keep a clean sheet at half-time, averaging 1.38 goals in the first half and conceding none (0.0 goals conceded by half-time). Over the season the hosts average 2.75 goals scored and 0.38 conceded, while Houston have 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded — a difference of about 0.95 goals in Sporting’s favor. Additionally, Sporting’s xG is 1.72 versus the visitors’ 1.69, and xG against is 1.12 for the hosts compared to 1.86 for Houston; shot conversion rate is 18% for Sporting vs 13% for the visitors, indicating a qualitative and defensive advantage for the hosts. For these reasons the most likely scenario is a lead at the break and a home win (HT/FT 1/1) — I rate it at 66%, while a draw at half-time followed by a home win (HT/FT X/1) is 13%, a half-time/full-time draw (HT/FT X/X) 10%, and the remaining variants combined 11%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting KC II | Houston Dynamo FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sporting KC II · 2 pts / match - Houston Dynamo FC II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Sporting KC II · 2.22 goals / match - Houston Dynamo FC II
Houston Dynamo FC II is 196% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.63 goals / match - Sporting KC II · 0.89 goals / match - Houston Dynamo FC II
Sporting KC II scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Houston Dynamo FC II keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Houston Dynamo FC II scores in 100% of matches (18 of 18 matches), while Sporting KC II keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sporting KC II
Over / Under — Houston Dynamo FC II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 203% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.68 pts / match - Sporting KC II · 2.06 pts / match - Houston Dynamo FC II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting KC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Houston Dynamo FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting KC II
Houston Dynamo FC II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Sporting KC II | Liga | Houston Dynamo FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.89 | 3.23 | ▼ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 61% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 66% | • 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 22% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sporting KC II 0 - 1 - 3 Houston Dynamo FC II. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting KC II vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Sporting KC II 3:2 Houston Dynamo FC II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting KC II and Houston Dynamo FC II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting KC II won 0, Houston Dynamo FC II won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting KC II vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
Sporting KC II score 1.26 goals per game on average and Houston Dynamo FC II 2.22. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Sporting KC II's matches and 61% of Houston Dynamo FC II's.
What form are Sporting KC II and Houston Dynamo FC II in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting KC II have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Houston Dynamo FC II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting KC II vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
The statistical background for Sporting KC II vs Houston Dynamo FC II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.