Sporting KC vs SJ Earthquakes: match statistics
Sporting KC vs SJ Earthquakes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting KC played SJ Earthquakes in MLS (United States). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Sporting KC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. SJ Earthquakes: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting KC scores 1.00 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. SJ Earthquakes scores 1.67 and concedes 0.17. League average: 3.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting KC 67%, SJ Earthquakes 0%. Over 2.5: Sporting KC 83%, SJ Earthquakes 33%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
SJ Earthquakes has higher xG: 1.64 vs 0.87. Sporting KC: 6.7 shots per match, SJ Earthquakes: 15.2.
Match halves
Sporting KC: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. SJ Earthquakes: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Sporting KC: 31-45+ (2 goals). SJ Earthquakes: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
San Jose Earthquakes have a clear form advantage: in the last 5 matches they have won 4 times, scored 7 goals and average 2.4 points per game, while Sporting KC in that period has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, 6 goals and only 0.8 points per game. The defensive difference is decisive — Sporting KC concedes on average 2.33 goals per home game and has recorded no clean sheets (0% CS), whereas SJ concedes on average 0 goals away and has 100% away clean sheets. In terms of chance creation both teams average about 7 shots per game and around 3 on target, with a similar conversion rate of approximately 14%, but SJ has a better goal record this season (10 goals vs 6 for the hosts). xG shows similar quality of chances (home xG 0.92 vs 0.91 for the visitors), so defensive organization and result stability will be decisive. Considering the difference in defense and form (PPG 2.4 vs 0.8 as well as goal records and a -4 difference for the hosts vs +2 for the visitors), I forecast a San Jose Earthquakes win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long data strongly favor No Goal/clean sheet expected — San Jose Earthquakes have 100% clean sheets and concede 0.0 goals per match on average, and the season BTTS rates for both teams are 0%. Sporting KC, however, is offensively potent: 2.0 goals per match on average, xG 2.01, 19.25 shots with 7.0 on target, indicating a high number of scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches Sporting scored 6 and conceded 11 (2.2 conceded per match on average), while San Jose conceded only 1 in those five games (0.2 on average), highlighting the visitors' defensive advantage. Considering San Jose’s 100% seasonal clean sheets and the 0% season BTTS for both teams, I rate BTTS - No at 75% and BTTS - Yes at 25%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model projects 1.78 expected goals for Sporting KC (xG_for_home 2.01 vs xG_against_away 1.55) and 0.82 for San Jose (xG_for_away 0.91 vs xG_against_home 0.72), totaling 2.60 goals. Sporting averages 19.25 shots and 7.0 on target per match versus Earthquakes’ 7.0/3.0, with conversion rates of 10% (home) vs 14% (away), reinforcing the home side’s attacking superiority. Seasonally Sporting have 75% of matches Over 1.5 and 50% Over 2.5, and in the last 5 matches Sporting recorded Over 2.5 in 80% of fixtures, while San Jose have 0% seasonally and 20% in their last 5. Despite a low BTTS rate (0% for both), the xG dominance and shot volume indicate the safest and strongest signal from the data is a bet on Over 1.5 (~73%), while Over 2.5 is balanced (~48%) and Over 3.5 has low probability (~26%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sporting KC led at the break in 3 of 4 matches (75%), scoring an average of 1.5 first-half goals versus San Jose’s 0.5, so the HT market favors the home side. Over full matches Sporting has an xG of 2.01 compared to the visitors’ 0.91 and averages 19.25 shots (7 on target) versus San Jose’s 7 shots (3 on target), which demonstrates a clear creative advantage for the hosts. Both teams have a high clean-sheet percentage (Sporting 75% for the season, SJ 100%), so I expect a rather low-scoring outcome rather than a trade of many goals, but the superiority in chances supports maintaining the lead. On that basis the strongest signal is Sporting leading at half-time and winning at full-time (HT/FT 1/1), and I assign the highest probability to that scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting KC | SJ Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SJ Earthquakes is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Sporting KC · 2.4 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SJ Earthquakes is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Sporting KC · 1.67 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes
SJ Earthquakes is 1271% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Sporting KC · 0.17 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes
Sporting KC scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while SJ Earthquakes keeps a clean sheet in 83% (5 of 6 matches).
SJ Earthquakes scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Sporting KC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting KC
Over / Under - SJ Earthquakes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SJ Earthquakes is 334% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Sporting KC · 2.17 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting KC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
SJ Earthquakes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting KC
SJ Earthquakes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Sporting KC | Liga | SJ Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.08 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 82% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sporting KC 0 - 0 - 1 SJ Earthquakes. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting KC vs SJ Earthquakes?
The MLS match finished Sporting KC 1:3 SJ Earthquakes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting KC vs SJ Earthquakes?
Sporting KC score 1.00 goals per game on average and SJ Earthquakes 1.67. The MLS average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Sporting KC's matches and 0% of SJ Earthquakes's.
What form are Sporting KC and SJ Earthquakes in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting KC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and SJ Earthquakes 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting KC vs SJ Earthquakes?
The statistical background for Sporting KC vs SJ Earthquakes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.