Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance: match statistics
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting Lagos played Bendel Insurance in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Enyimba International Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sporting Lagos: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bendel Insurance: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting Lagos scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Bendel Insurance scores 1.86 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting Lagos 43%, Bendel Insurance 71%. Over 2.5: Sporting Lagos 29%, Bendel Insurance 86%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Lagos has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.19. Sporting Lagos: 9.3 shots per match, Bendel Insurance: 3.1.
Match halves
Sporting Lagos: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Bendel Insurance: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Sporting Lagos: 61-75 (3 goals). Bendel Insurance: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Lagos have the stronger chance of winning, primarily because of Bendel Insurance’s poor away form: the visitors have lost all 3 of their away matches and concede an average of 2 goals in them. The hosts have yet to win at home either, but they have drawn 2 of their 3 matches and concede an average of 1 goal per game. In the last 5 rounds, Bendel scored 11 goals compared with Sporting’s 5, but this attacking advantage has come mainly in matches played at home. Away from home, the visitors, like Sporting at home, score an average of just 0.33 goals, despite an xG of 1.19 compared with the hosts’ 1.17. Both teams’ poor finishing increases the likelihood of a draw, but Bendel’s greater defensive problems on the road tip the forecast slightly in Sporting’s favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring is Bendel Insurance’s away scoring record: an average of 0.33 goals per match and no goal in 67% of those fixtures. Sporting Lagos average 3.0 goals at home, so if either side fails to score, it is more likely to be the visitors. The last five matches nevertheless offer some support for BTTS - Yes: both teams scored in 60% of Sporting’s matches and 80% of Bendel’s, with Bendel averaging 2.2 goals over that period. Since that latter average covers all matches, while Bendel’s away average is just 0.33, I cautiously opt for BTTS - No, which is also supported by the league BTTS rate of 46%. BTTS - No means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0:0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Sporting Lagos score an average of 3.0 goals at home, while Bendel Insurance concede 2.0 away from home, giving the hosts a clear opportunity to find the net. The Over 1.5 goals line has been landed in all of Sporting’s home matches and in 67% of Bendel’s away games. However, caution is warranted with higher lines: Sporting have averaged just 1.0 goal across their last five matches, while Bendel average 0.33 goals away from home. With 2.70 goals projected, Over 1.5 is the most compelling option, better supported by both teams’ results than Over 2.5, despite the league average standing at just 2.4 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sporting Lagos have won all 4 analysed home matches, scoring an average of 3 goals, while Bendel Insurance have lost all 3 away matches, scoring an average of just 0.33 goals. The hosts were leading at the break in 2 of their 4 home games and were never behind, while the visitors did not lead at half-time in any of their 3 away games. Sporting averaged 1 first-half goal at home, whereas Bendel conceded an average of 1 goal before the break away from home, pointing to an early lead for the hosts. After the break, Sporting averaged 2 goals at home and won the second half in 3 of 4 matches, giving them a strong chance of holding on to their advantage. A half-time draw remains a significant alternative, having occurred in 2 of Sporting’s 4 home matches and 2 of Bendel’s 3 away matches. Caution is also warranted by the visitors’ better form across their last 5 matches overall, in which they won 3 times compared with 1 win for the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Lagos | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.38 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 2.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bendel Insurance is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sporting Lagos · 1.8 pts / match - Bendel Insurance
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bendel Insurance is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Sporting Lagos · 1.86 goals / match - Bendel Insurance
Sporting Lagos is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Sporting Lagos · 1.57 goals / match - Bendel Insurance
Sporting Lagos scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Bendel Insurance keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Bendel Insurance scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Sporting Lagos keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Lagos
Over / Under - Bendel Insurance
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bendel Insurance is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Sporting Lagos · 1.43 pts / match - Bendel Insurance
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Lagos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bendel Insurance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting Lagos
Bendel Insurance
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Lagos | Liga | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.29 | 2.38 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | • 43% | 44% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 40% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 35% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 68% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?
The NPFL match finished Sporting Lagos 2:1 Bendel Insurance. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?
Sporting Lagos score 1.14 goals per game on average and Bendel Insurance 1.86. The NPFL average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Sporting Lagos's matches and 71% of Bendel Insurance's.
What form are Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Lagos have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bendel Insurance 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.