Sportivo Carapeguá vs Benjamin Aceval: match statistics

Benjamin Aceval sit 4th, while Sportivo Carapeguá are 9th, and across the season the visitors have recorded 11 wins compared with 8 for the hosts. Away from home, Benjamin Aceval average 1.91 goals per match, clearly more than Carapeguá’s 1.27 goals scored at home, and also register 11.18 shots compared with their opponents’ 8.09. The visitors create more high-quality chances, as reflected by an average xG of 1.39 versus 1.07 for the hosts, and they are also more efficient with their shots: 17% compared with 16%. Carapeguá concede an average of 1.45 goals at home, while Benjamin Aceval have lost only 27% of their away matches and won 55% of them. Both teams have won 2 of their last 5 matches, but the visitors’ greater attacking potential and stronger away record point to a slight advantage for Benjamin Aceval.

Benjamin Aceval has recorded BTTS - Yes in 73% of their matches this season and in as many as 80% of their last 5 games, while Sportivo Carapeguá stands at 50% and 40%, respectively. The visitors score an average of 1.91 goals per match, while the hosts, despite their solid defense, have conceded 1.6 goals per game recently. Both sides produce a comparable number of shots on target: 4.22 for the hosts versus 4.27 for the visitors, with average xG figures of 1.57 and 1.39, respectively. Their current defensive form favors goals at both ends: Carapeguá have conceded 8 goals in 5 matches, while Benjamin Aceval have conceded 9. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 40% of their matches, but the visitors do so in only 18%, reinforcing the scenario in which each team scores at least once.

The projection of close to 3.0 goals is supported by both sides’ attacking potential: the home team averages 1.57 xG, while the visitors average 1.39 xG, with both teams allowing opponents more than 1.5 xG per match. The last five games were even more open, as Carapeguá conceded an average of 1.6 goals and Benjamin Aceval 1.8, while as many as 80% of the visitors’ matches went Over 2.5 goals. At the same time, the 3.5 line remains clearly above the typical scenario: only 20% of the home team’s matches and 27% of the visitors’ games ended with at least four goals. Benjamin Aceval scores an average of 1.91 goals, but Carapeguá keeps a clean sheet in 40% of matches, limiting the chances of a very high-scoring game. Therefore, the safest edge lies with Under 3.5, covering the most likely results from 1:1 to 2:1.

A draw at half-time is the most logical starting point, as Sportivo Carapeguá were level at the break in 67% of their matches, while the average number of goals in their first halves is only 1.00. Benjamin Aceval have recorded just 27% half-time draws over the season as a whole, but in their last five matches they were not losing at half-time in 80% of cases and scored an average of 0.8 goals during those periods, compared with 0.4 for the hosts. After the interval, the visitors’ advantage is more pronounced: they score an average of 1.27 goals, win the second half in 73% of matches and have collected 25 points in those periods, while the hosts record 0.78 goals and a 44% second-half win rate. Benjamin Aceval also have a higher season scoring average, 1.91 compared with 1.40, and their shot conversion rate stands at 17%, compared with 11% for the hosts. The HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time best combines Carapeguá’s cautious opening profile with Benjamin Aceval’s greater attacking potential after the break.