Sportivo Luqueño vs Deportivo Recoleta: match statistics
Sportivo Luqueño vs Deportivo Recoleta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sportivo Luqueño play Deportivo Recoleta in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 23:15. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sportivo Luqueño: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Deportivo Recoleta: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.09 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.59 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sportivo Luqueño 64%, Deportivo Recoleta 68%. Over 2.5: Sportivo Luqueño 55%, Deportivo Recoleta 64%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Sportivo Luqueño has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.19. Sportivo Luqueño: 11.4 shots per match, Deportivo Recoleta: 10.9.
Match halves
Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.41. Deportivo Recoleta: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Sportivo Luqueño: 31-45+ (6 goals). Deportivo Recoleta: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 3-2-0. Average goals 1.80, BTTS 40%.
Match description
I back the away win (Deportivo Recoleta) as their form and efficiency are clearly superior: the visitors have 2 wins in the last 5 matches and average 1.4 points per game in that run, while Sportivo Luqueño have 0 wins and only 0.2 points per game in their last 5. The hosts average 13 shots per home game with a low conversion rate of 8% and score 1.0 goals on average, whereas the visitors on the road average 9.71 shots with a better conversion of 12% and score 1.14 goals. Defensively Sportivo concedes 1.71 goals per home game and have conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches, while Recoleta concede 1.43 on the road and have conceded 7 in their last 5; the hosts also have 0% clean sheets at home versus 29% clean sheets for the visitors away. Although xG indicates the hosts create more chances (xG for 1.38 vs 1.06), their actual goals conceded exceed xG against (1.71 conceded vs xG against 1.17), pointing to defensive issues for the hosts, so I assign a 55% probability for an away win, 25% for a draw and 20% for a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sportivo Luqueño | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Recoleta is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.2 pts / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Recoleta is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.59 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueño scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sportivo Luqueño
Over / Under — Deportivo Recoleta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Recoleta is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.41 pts / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sportivo Luqueño
Deportivo Recoleta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Sportivo Luqueño | Liga | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.44 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 43% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Sportivo Luqueño 3 - 2 - 0 Deportivo Recoleta. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sportivo Luqueño vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo Luqueño 2:1 Deportivo Recoleta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo Luqueño and Deportivo Recoleta?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 3, Deportivo Recoleta won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo Luqueño vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Luqueño score 1.09 goals per game on average and Deportivo Recoleta 1.59. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Sportivo Luqueño's matches and 68% of Deportivo Recoleta's.
What form are Sportivo Luqueño and Deportivo Recoleta in?
Over the last 5 games Sportivo Luqueño have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Deportivo Recoleta 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo Luqueño vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The statistical background for Sportivo Luqueño vs Deportivo Recoleta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.