Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní: match statistics
Guaraní is in significantly better form than Sportivo Luqueño, as confirmed by their points per game average over the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG). The hosts have a catastrophic home record with a zero win percentage and a one hundred percent loss rate at their own stadium, scoring only 0.5 goals on average per game. Guaraní shows stability in away matches with a 67% draw rate; however, their offensive efficiency (1.33 goals per away game) and superior overall form (draw-win-draw-win-draw) give them the edge. Sportivo Luqueño has failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match, which, combined with their poor shooting accuracy (3% shot conversion rate), makes them a clear underdog in this fixture. Considering all statistics, the most likely outcomes are an away win or a draw, with Guaraní having a better chance of securing all three points.
Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sportivo Luqueño played Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Sportivo Luqueño: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Guaraní: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.00 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Guaraní scores 2.20 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sportivo Luqueño 60%, Guaraní 60%. Over 2.5: Sportivo Luqueño 60%, Guaraní 80%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Guaraní has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.17. Sportivo Luqueño: 11.4 shots per match, Guaraní: 13.4.
Match halves
Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Guaraní: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Sportivo Luqueño: 76-90+ (2 goals). Guaraní: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-4. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guaraní is in significantly better form than Sportivo Luqueño, as confirmed by their points per game average over the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG). The hosts have a catastrophic home record with a zero win percentage and a one hundred percent loss rate at their own stadium, scoring only 0.5 goals on average per game. Guaraní shows stability in away matches with a 67% draw rate; however, their offensive efficiency (1.33 goals per away game) and superior overall form (draw-win-draw-win-draw) give them the edge. Sportivo Luqueño has failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match, which, combined with their poor shooting accuracy (3% shot conversion rate), makes them a clear underdog in this fixture. Considering all statistics, the most likely outcomes are an away win or a draw, with Guaraní having a better chance of securing all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sportivo Luqueño | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guaraní is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.6 pts / match - Guaraní
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaraní is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 2.2 goals / match - Guaraní
Guaraní is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.2 goals / match - Guaraní
Sportivo Luqueño scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Guaraní scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sportivo Luqueño
Over / Under - Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guaraní is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.6 pts / match - Guaraní
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sportivo Luqueño
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Sportivo Luqueño | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.40 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 51% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 43% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sportivo Luqueño 0 - 0 - 4 Guaraní. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo Luqueño 3:2 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo Luqueño and Guaraní?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 0, Guaraní won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní?
Sportivo Luqueño score 1.00 goals per game on average and Guaraní 2.20. The Division Profesional average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Sportivo Luqueño's matches and 60% of Guaraní's.
What form are Sportivo Luqueño and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games Sportivo Luqueño have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Guaraní 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní?
The statistical background for Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.