Paraguay - Division ProfesionalEstadio Feliciano CáceresData current as of 18 October 2026

Sportivo Luqueño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Sportivo Luqueño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sportivo Luqueño play Sportivo San Lorenzo in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 21 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Feliciano Cáceres.

Current form

Sportivo Luqueño: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Sportivo San Lorenzo: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.06 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Sportivo San Lorenzo scores 0.53 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sportivo Luqueño 58%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 39%. Over 2.5: Sportivo Luqueño 61%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 36%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Sportivo Luqueño has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.17. Sportivo Luqueño: 11.9 shots per match, Sportivo San Lorenzo: 10.9.

Match halves

Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.50. Sportivo San Lorenzo: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

Sportivo Luqueño: 31-45+ (9 goals). Sportivo San Lorenzo: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Profesional: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.86)
(3.35)
(3.95)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
1.06Goals scored / match0.53
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
1.67Goals conceded / match1.78
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
49%Average possession43%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
4.14Shots on target / match2.69
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.92Shots per match10.92
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
4.14Shots on target2.69
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
8.9%Shot conversion4.8%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
49%Possession43%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
1.31xG for1.17
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
1.51xG against1.67
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

Shooting quality

Sportivo Luqueño: BalancedSportivo San Lorenzo: Balanced
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
Accuracy (shots on target)35%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sportivo Luqueño
LWLLL
Season result split
25% W17% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-21
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-12
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Sportivo San Lorenzo
LLDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
8% W28% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-10-23
0.53 pts / match · goal difference -45
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-13
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sportivo Luqueño is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 0.53 goals / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo

Sportivo Luqueño is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.78 goals / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo

Sportivo Luqueño scoring profile: very strong

Sportivo Luqueño scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Sportivo San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).

Sportivo San Lorenzo scoring profile: strong

Sportivo San Lorenzo scores in 47% of matches (17 of 36 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 36 matches).

38Goals scored (season)19
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
60Goals conceded (season)64
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
2.72Average goals in match2.31
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
3Goals scored (last 5)2
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal47%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
39%2 goals6%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
3%3 goals0%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
0%4 goals0%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal83%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
53%2 goals44%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
22%3 goals28%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
3%4 goals11%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
Sportivo Luqueño - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 36 matches
39%
Sportivo San Lorenzo - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 36 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time19%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
8%BTTS in both halves3%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
25%Scored in both halves3%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS19%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
20%BTTS - last 540%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sportivo Luqueño is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 0.78 pts / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo

Sportivo Luqueño - half-time state
22% leading47% draw31% trailing
Sportivo San Lorenzo - half-time state
8% leading53% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)0.78
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.28
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
0.72Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
1.28Average goals (1st half)1
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
47%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
56%No goal before half-time72%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)0.64
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)1.06
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.31
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
28%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo
56%No goal after half-time78%
Sportivo LuqueñoSportivo San Lorenzo

Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
41
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sportivo San Lorenzo - second-half results

11% W31% D58% L
28
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-29
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 8%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sportivo Luqueño - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Sportivo San Lorenzo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sportivo Luqueño
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
6
7
16-30
9
12
31-45
6
15
46-60
5
7
61-75
7
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Sportivo San Lorenzo
ScoredConceded
3
11
0-15
4
5
16-30
3
10
31-45
1
11
46-60
3
12
61-75
5
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-47%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sportivo Luqueño

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Sportivo San Lorenzo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

Sportivo LuqueñoLigaSportivo San Lorenzo
Average goals in match▲ 2.722.42▼ 2.31
Both teams scored▲ 58%52%▼ 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 61%45%▼ 36%
Clean sheets▼ 11%28%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 69%65%▼ 61%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%82%▼ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Sportivo Luqueño 1 - 2 - 0 Sportivo San Lorenzo. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Sportivo Luqueño and Sportivo San Lorenzo play?

Sportivo Luqueño face Sportivo San Lorenzo on 21 October 2026 in Division Profesional at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo Luqueño and Sportivo San Lorenzo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 1, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo Luqueño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?

Sportivo Luqueño score 1.06 goals per game on average and Sportivo San Lorenzo 0.53. The Division Profesional average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Sportivo Luqueño's matches and 39% of Sportivo San Lorenzo's.

What form are Sportivo Luqueño and Sportivo San Lorenzo in?

Over the last 5 games Sportivo Luqueño have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo Luqueño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sportivo Luqueño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.