Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics
Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sportivo San Lorenzo played Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 28 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Gunther Vogel. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Sportivo San Lorenzo: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Nacional Asunción: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sportivo San Lorenzo scores 0.54 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Nacional Asunción scores 1.39 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sportivo San Lorenzo 36%, Nacional Asunción 64%. Over 2.5: Sportivo San Lorenzo 32%, Nacional Asunción 39%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional Asunción has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.13. Sportivo San Lorenzo: 10.3 shots per match, Nacional Asunción: 12.5.
Match halves
Sportivo San Lorenzo: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.29. Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Sportivo San Lorenzo: 76-90+ (5 goals). Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional Asunción have a clearly superior season record, with 11 wins and only 4 defeats, while Sportivo San Lorenzo have won just 3 of their 27 matches. The hosts are in very poor form, scoring only 1 goal in their last five games, losing four times and averaging just 0.2 points per match. At home, San Lorenzo score an average of 0.54 goals, fail to find the net in 54% of matches and allow opponents an xG of 1.62. Nacional create more away from home, posting an xG of 1.33 compared with the hosts’ 1.12, and also record 4 shots on target per match versus San Lorenzo’s 2.31. The visitors have drawn 57% of their away fixtures, so a stalemate remains a realistic scenario; however, their more effective attack and significantly steadier recent form point towards a Nacional victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Although the seasonal BTTS rates stand at 62% for Sportivo San Lorenzo and 71% for Nacional Asunción, the hosts’ current form significantly weakens the scenario of both teams scoring. Sportivo have scored just 1 goal in their last five matches, averaging 0.2 per game, with BTTS landing in only 20% of those fixtures. Over the same period, Nacional conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in 21% of their games this season, giving them a realistic chance of shutting out a highly ineffective opponent. The hosts average 4.0 shots on target, similar to the visitors, but their current xG of 1.05 is not translating into goals, while Nacional come into this match after five games with 7 goals scored and 4 conceded. Therefore, BTTS - No is the most likely outcome, primarily due to the high risk that Sportivo San Lorenzo will once again fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is the low share of matches with at least 4 goals: just 15% for Sportivo San Lorenzo and 14% for Nacional Asunción, meaning this line was not exceeded in 85% and 86% of their matches, respectively. Sportivo San Lorenzo are also experiencing a clear dip in form, having scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game, while conceding 8. Nacional Asunción scored 1.4 goals per match during this period, but only 20% of their last five games went Over 2.5 goals, identical to the hosts’ figure. Although both teams have a seasonal xG of 1.33, the hosts’ current form and the projected total of 2.04 goals clearly support the Under 3.5 goals option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is current form: Sportivo San Lorenzo have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging just 0.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Nacional average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The hosts have not led at the break in any of their last five matches, were trailing after 45 minutes in 80% of them, and failed to score in the first half on every occasion. Nacional, by contrast, were unbeaten at half-time throughout this entire run, leading in 40% of matches, drawing in 60%, and scoring an average of 0.8 goals before the break. Although the hosts’ overall season record at home is better, their current crisis and the fact that they failed to score in the second half in 80% of matches support the scenario of the visitors taking the lead at the break and maintaining their advantage until full-time. Nacional also kept a clean sheet after half-time in 80% of their last five appearances, further strengthening the 2/2 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional Asunción is 157% better for: goals scored per match.
0.54 goals / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo · 1.39 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Nacional Asunción is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo · 0.96 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Sportivo San Lorenzo scores in 46% of matches (13 of 28 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Sportivo San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sportivo San Lorenzo
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional Asunción is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo · 1.25 pts / match - Nacional Asunción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sportivo San Lorenzo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sportivo San Lorenzo
Nacional Asunción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Liga | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.45 | • 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 45% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sportivo San Lorenzo 0 - 1 - 1 Nacional Asunción. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asunción?
The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo San Lorenzo 0:3 Nacional Asunción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo San Lorenzo and Nacional Asunción?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0, Nacional Asunción won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asunción?
Sportivo San Lorenzo score 0.54 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 1.39. The Division Profesional average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Sportivo San Lorenzo's matches and 64% of Nacional Asunción's.
What form are Sportivo San Lorenzo and Nacional Asunción in?
Over the last 5 games Sportivo San Lorenzo have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asunción?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asunción: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.