Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano: match statistics
Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sportivo San Lorenzo played Sportivo Ameliano in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 31 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sportivo San Lorenzo: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Sportivo Ameliano: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sportivo San Lorenzo scores 0.54 and concedes 2.08 goals per match. Sportivo Ameliano scores 1.08 and concedes 0.69. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sportivo San Lorenzo 46%, Sportivo Ameliano 38%. Over 2.5: Sportivo San Lorenzo 31%, Sportivo Ameliano 23%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Sportivo San Lorenzo has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.17. Sportivo San Lorenzo: 10.9 shots per match, Sportivo Ameliano: 12.5.
Match halves
Sportivo San Lorenzo: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.38. Sportivo Ameliano: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Sportivo San Lorenzo: 76-90+ (3 goals). Sportivo Ameliano: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sportivo San Lorenzo show substantial offensive and defensive problems — 0.67 G/90 and 2.67 GA at home and 50% of matches without scoring. Sportivo Ameliano are much more stable, with a better goal balance (14–9), more effective pressing and possession and lower average GA (0.83 away). Last five matches favour the visitors (2 wins, 3 draws) and higher PPG (1.8 vs hosts’ 0.8). Differences in xG and shot efficiency suggest the visitors create and convert more chances. Given the hosts’ weak defence, low efficiency and Ameliano’s superior form and organisation, the away win is the predicted outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The main signal against BTTS is the home side’s very strong defense: only 0.57 GA per match and 57% seasonal CS rate, which greatly reduces the probability of both teams scoring. The away team has a high season BTTS (67%) and better attacking form in last5 (6 goals), increasing their chance to score. xG and shot averages are similar, so visitors have real chances, but efficacy may face a resilient home defense. Given the defensive edge of the hosts and the disparity in season BTTS (14% vs 67%), the No signal is stronger. Overall I assess a higher probability that at least one side keeps a clean sheet, hence recommend against BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goals averages indicate a moderate-high goal level — home xG 1.22 and away xG 1.13 total 2.35 expected goals. Average shots and SOT are similar (~12–13 shots, ~3.2 SOT), and conversion rates (9% vs 8%) imply realistic finishing of created chances. Historical over/under percentages show low rates above 2.5 for both teams (29% and 17%), reducing Over 2.5 probability, while Over 1.5 occurs more often, especially for the away side (67%). A high home clean sheet rate (57%) limits risk of many goals, but summed xG and offensive metrics favor over 1.5. Recommendation: Over 1.5 as the strongest signal; Over 2.5 and 3.5 are less likely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics indicate a high frequency of HT draws: drawingAtHTPercentage_home 71% and away 50% and low HT goal averages (scoredAVGHT_home 0.29, scoredAVGHT_away 0.33), suggesting frequent 0:0/1:1 first halves. Hosts are stronger in the second half (AVG_2hg_home 1.43, scored_2hg_avg_home 0.86, wins_2hg_percentage_home 43%), giving them a chance to improve after the break. Home HT clean sheet stats (seasonCSPercentageHT_home 100%) and low home BTTS (14%) argue for a low-scoring half. Visitors have better recent form, but the match profile is a defensive start with a second-half resolution. The strongest signal is HT draw and FT draw (X/X), with the second option HT draw and FT home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sportivo Ameliano is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo · 1.8 pts / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sportivo Ameliano is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.54 goals / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo · 1.08 goals / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano is 201% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.08 goals / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo · 0.69 goals / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo San Lorenzo scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while Sportivo Ameliano keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
Sportivo Ameliano scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Sportivo San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sportivo San Lorenzo
Over / Under - Sportivo Ameliano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sportivo Ameliano is 148% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.62 pts / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo · 1.54 pts / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sportivo San Lorenzo - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sportivo Ameliano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sportivo San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Liga | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.62 | 2.29 | ▼ 1.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 30% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 54% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sportivo San Lorenzo 0 - 0 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo San Lorenzo 1:2 Sportivo Ameliano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Sportivo San Lorenzo score 0.54 goals per game on average and Sportivo Ameliano 1.08. The Division Profesional average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Sportivo San Lorenzo's matches and 38% of Sportivo Ameliano's.
What form are Sportivo San Lorenzo and Sportivo Ameliano in?
Over the last 5 games Sportivo San Lorenzo have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Sportivo Ameliano 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The statistical background for Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.