SSC Farul vs Csikszereda: match statistics

SSC Farul have a clear home advantage: they won their only home match to date, scoring 2 goals and keeping a clean sheet. The hosts generate an average xG of 2.46 while allowing opponents just 0.87 xG, and their 20 shots and 10 shots on target per match comfortably exceed Csikszereda’s 6 shots and 3 efforts on target away from home. Csikszereda have lost all 3 league matches, failing to score a single goal, while they have lost 100% of their away fixtures and conceded an average of 2 goals. The difference is also reflected in current form: Farul have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, whereas the visitors have managed just 2 and suffered 4 defeats. Given this disparity in chance quality, finishing and defensive organisation, a convincing home win is the most likely outcome.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Csikszereda’s very limited attacking output: across their last 5 matches, they averaged just 0.4 goals per game, scoring 2 goals in total, while BTTS did not occur in any of those fixtures. Their average xG over this period was only 0.98, with 6 shots and 3 shots on target per match, which does not suggest they are consistently creating clear-cut chances. Farul conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches, but they are in significantly better attacking form themselves, averaging 2.6 goals and an xG of 2.01. The hosts could win comfortably, but the more likely scenario is that at least one team—primarily Csikszereda—fails to score.

Farul have averaged 2.6 goals scored and generated 2.01 xG across their last five matches, while Csikszereda conceded 1.4 goals over the same period, with 1.99 xG allowed to opponents. The hosts therefore have a clear chance to approach two goals on their own, especially as at least three goals were scored in 80% of their last five matches. The visitors are weaker offensively, averaging just 0.4 goals scored and 0.98 xG across their last five outings, which limits the likelihood of a very high-scoring game. Nevertheless, Farul conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this run, making a single Csikszereda goal a realistic addition to the final score. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: the projected total of 2.60 goals provides a substantial margin above this line, whereas Over 2.5 is already considerably more balanced.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Farul win in the match, as Csikszereda were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 fixtures and failed to score before half-time in any of them. Farul have also been unimpressive at the start of matches, averaging just 0.4 goals in the first half, but their attacking output rises to 2.2 goals after the break. In their last five matches, the home side averaged 2.6 total goals per game, compared with just 0.4 for the visitors, while their respective points averages stand at 1.6 and 0.6 per match. Csikszereda have lost 4 of their last 5 fixtures and failed to score after half-time in as many as 80% of them, which clearly strengthens Farul’s chances of deciding the match in the second half. This supports the HT/FT pick X/1.