SSC Farul vs UTA Arad: match statistics

SSC Farul have a clear home advantage: they have won 67% of their home matches, averaging 1.67 goals scored and just 0.67 conceded, while UTA Arad lose 75% of their away games and allow opponents to score 2 goals per match. The hosts also create higher-quality chances, recording a home xG of 1.87 with 0.98 xG conceded; away from home, UTA’s corresponding figures are 1.43 and 1.51. Farul average 16 shots and 7.33 shots on target per home match, significantly more than UTA’s 13.5 shots and 3.5 on target away from home. The main negative signal for the hosts is their five-match winless run, featuring 4 draws and only 2 goals scored. However, despite winning 3 of their last 5 matches, UTA have failed to score in 50% of their away games and have not kept a single clean sheet on the road. Farul’s superiority in game control, defensive efficiency and chance quality points to a moderately likely home victory.

The BTTS - No scenario holds a slight edge, as Farul have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while UTA average just 1.0 goal away from home. In addition, the hosts have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, with a BTTS rate of 40% over that period. UTA are in significantly better attacking form, averaging 2.4 goals across their last five outings, but Farul conceded just 0.6 goals per match during that span. The hosts should have a good chance of scoring, given their home average of 1.75 goals and UTA’s away concession rate of 2.0, although the likelihood of an away goal is less certain. Both teams’ seasonal BTTS rates stand at 50%, close to the league average of 46%, which further supports the cautious selection that at least one side may fail to score.

The season profile is favorable for goals in Farul matches, with the hosts averaging 1.75 goals at home, while UTA concede as many as 2.00 goals per away game. However, the hosts’ current form clearly dampens the projection: they have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, and none of those matches went over the 2.5-goal line. UTA are in better attacking rhythm, averaging 2.4 goals across their last 5 appearances, but Farul have conceded only 3 goals over the same period, and their season average at home is just 0.75 goals conceded. The total projected goal count of 2.35, combined with Farul’s lack of high-scoring results, indicates that four or more goals is a clearly less likely scenario. The strongest option is therefore Under 3.5 goals, which also provides a margin for a 2:1 or 1:2 result.

UTA Arad have clearly looked stronger in their last five matches: they won three of them, scored an average of 2.4 goals and conceded just 0.8, while Farul failed to win any match, averaged 0.4 goals scored and recorded four draws. The visitors led at the break in 60% of their recent matches, whereas the hosts have never gone into half-time ahead; Farul were level at half-time in 80% of their matches, but scored just 0.2 goals in the first half on average. UTA’s advantage should become even more evident after the interval, as they averaged 1.6 goals per match in the second half, compared with just 0.2 for Farul. Additionally, the hosts concede an average of 0.75 goals in their home matches, while UTA currently have a +5 second-half goal difference across their last five appearances. The strongest scenario is therefore for the visitors to lead at half-time and maintain their advantage until the final whistle.