SSC Giugliano vs Scafatese: match statistics

Scafatese are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while SSC Giugliano have managed just 1 win and as many as 4 draws. The biggest difference lies in attacking efficiency: the visitors have scored 11 goals during this period, averaging 2.2 per match, compared with just 4 goals for the hosts, an average of 0.8. Both teams have conceded 3 goals across their five appearances, meaning Giugliano’s defence has been solid, but their limited attacking output reduces their chances of taking all three points. Scafatese have averaged 2.2 points per game over their last five league matches, compared with 1.4 for Giugliano, further highlighting the visitors’ superior current form. A draw remains a realistic outcome given Giugliano’s run of four consecutive draws after their only win in this sequence; however, Scafatese’s greater attacking quality makes them the preferred side.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, providing a moderately positive signal for goals at both ends. Scafatese are in clearly better attacking form, averaging 2.2 goals per match during this period, while Giugliano conceded just 0.6 goals, making the battle between Scafatese’s attack and the hosts’ solid defence crucial. Giugliano have scored only 0.8 goals per match, but their average xG stands at 1.41, higher than the 1.28 xG allowed by Scafatese. The visitors also have grounds to score, as they create an average of 1.12 xG, while the hosts allow opponents 1.35 xG. The edge for BTTS - Yes is slight due to Giugliano’s low conversion rate and Scafatese conceding only 0.6 goals on average, but the recent-match data marginally supports the “Yes” option.

Data from the last 5 matches indicate a moderate goal-scoring profile: Giugliano scored 4 goals and conceded 3, averaging 1.4 total goals per game. Scafatese have been more effective in attack, scoring 11 goals in 5 appearances, but they have also conceded just 3 goals, limiting the risk of a very high-scoring game. Giugliano’s average xG is 1.41, compared with 1.28 xG conceded by Scafatese, while Scafatese’s xG stands at 1.12 against 1.35 allowed by the hosts’ defence, producing a forecast of approximately 2.35 goals. Over 2.5 goals was recorded in 0% of Giugliano’s last 5 matches and 40% of Scafatese’s games, which is why the Under 3.5 goals line has the highest estimated probability at 79%.

Scafatese have been on a clearly stronger run: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals and won 60% of their games, while Giugliano have scored just 0.8 goals on average and won 20%. The visitors are also stronger before the break, averaging 1.0 goal compared with Giugliano’s 0.2 and taking a lead at the break in 40% of matches, while the hosts have not led at half-time at all. A half-time draw nevertheless remains a realistic outcome, as Giugliano were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their recent appearances, and both teams recorded at least three such matches featuring a first-half goal. After the break, Scafatese continue to average 1.2 goals, while Giugliano have not conceded after half-time in their last five matches, suggesting a cautious but higher-quality finish in the visitors’ favour. The strongest scenario is therefore X/2: a draw at half-time followed by a Scafatese win at full-time.