St. Gallen vs Thun: match statistics

St. Gallen sit 4th, while Thun are 10th, and the hosts remain unbeaten throughout the season: 2 wins and a draw compared with the visitors’ 1-0-2 record. St. Gallen have scored 13 goals in their last five matches and create chances worth an average of 2.08 xG at home, with 19.5 shots and 7.5 shots on target per game. Thun are also capable of scoring away from home, averaging 2.5 goals and 1.65 xG per match, so the visitors’ chances of finding the net are significant. The hosts’ key advantage lies in their opponents’ defensive record: Thun concede an average of 2.5 goals away from home, with 1.77 xG against, and have conceded as many as 14 goals in their last five matches. St. Gallen have also failed to keep a clean sheet at home and concede an average of 1.5 goals, but their superior form over the last five games, which ended with three wins, supports a home victory in an open match.

Thun average 2.5 goals scored away from home, register 4.5 shots on target per match, and have kept no clean sheets, which clearly increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. St. Gallen have averaged 2.6 goals across their last five matches, backed by a high xG of 2.40, while their opponents have conceded as many as 2.8 goals per game over the same period. The hosts do have a record of 100% of home matches without scoring, but this is based on a very small sample, while their current attacking form indicates significantly greater potential. The BTTS - Yes pick is also supported by Thun's 100% record of away matches featuring goals from both teams, as well as the league-wide BTTS average of 71%.

Both teams have scored 2.6 goals per game across their last five matches, indicating very high scoring potential in this matchup. During this period, St. Gallen averaged 2.40 xG, while Thun conceded as many as 2.8 goals per match, giving the hosts solid grounds to score at least twice. The visitors also generate 1.56 xG per game, while St. Gallen’s defense allowed an average of 1.36 xG, making a Thun goal a realistic scenario. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of St. Gallen’s last five matches and in 100% of Thun’s games, while the league average of 3.76 goals further supports an open game. However, the strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have recorded at least two goals in all of their league matches, significantly reducing the risk of a low-scoring outcome.

St. Gallen have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 1.0, while Thun have conceded an average of 2.8 goals. The hosts held a lead at the break in 60% of those matches, with a first-half goal difference of +2, whereas Thun were ahead at half-time in 40% of their games but recorded a half-time goal difference of -2. After the break, St. Gallen score an average of 1.8 goals and concede only 0.6, strengthening the likelihood of them maintaining or extending their lead. Thun’s attack remains dangerous, as the team averages 17 shots and records an xG of 1.65, but the hosts have the better current balance and have won 60% of their last five matches. The most likely HT/FT outcome is therefore St. Gallen leading at half-time and securing the win at the final whistle.