St. Johnstone vs Arbroath: match statistics
St. Johnstone displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and 0% losses on home soil. The hosts average 2.3 goals per home fixture while maintaining a 60% clean sheet rate, demonstrating excellent balance between attack and defense. Conversely, Arbroath performs significantly worse on the road, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match and recording a 40% away loss rate. The disparity in expected goals (xG) is evident: St. Johnstone generates 2.02 xG in home matches, whereas Arbroath achieves only 1.25 xG away. Furthermore, the hosts hold a significant advantage in possession (65% vs 42%) and shot efficiency, which, combined with home support, should translate into a solid victory. Although recent form for both teams is strong (St. Johnstone: DWWWD, Arbroath: WWWWD), home advantage and direct statistics clearly favor the hosts.
St. Johnstone vs Arbroath: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Johnstone played Arbroath in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
St. Johnstone: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Arbroath: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Johnstone scores 2.10 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Arbroath scores 1.35 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Johnstone 50%, Arbroath 55%. Over 2.5: St. Johnstone 65%, Arbroath 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
St. Johnstone has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.35. St. Johnstone: 16.1 shots per match, Arbroath: 10.9.
Match halves
St. Johnstone: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.05. Arbroath: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
St. Johnstone: 16-30 (11 goals). Arbroath: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St. Johnstone displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and 0% losses on home soil. The hosts average 2.3 goals per home fixture while maintaining a 60% clean sheet rate, demonstrating excellent balance between attack and defense. Conversely, Arbroath performs significantly worse on the road, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match and recording a 40% away loss rate. The disparity in expected goals (xG) is evident: St. Johnstone generates 2.02 xG in home matches, whereas Arbroath achieves only 1.25 xG away. Furthermore, the hosts hold a significant advantage in possession (65% vs 42%) and shot efficiency, which, combined with home support, should translate into a solid victory. Although recent form for both teams is strong (St. Johnstone: DWWWD, Arbroath: WWWWD), home advantage and direct statistics clearly favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Johnstone | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arbroath is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - St. Johnstone · 2.2 pts / match - Arbroath
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St. Johnstone is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
2.1 goals / match - St. Johnstone · 1.35 goals / match - Arbroath
St. Johnstone is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - St. Johnstone · 1.2 goals / match - Arbroath
St. Johnstone scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Arbroath scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while St. Johnstone keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Johnstone
Over / Under - Arbroath
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Johnstone is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - St. Johnstone · 1.15 pts / match - Arbroath
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Johnstone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arbroath - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Johnstone
Arbroath
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| St. Johnstone | Liga | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.49 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): St. Johnstone 1 - 0 - 1 Arbroath. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Johnstone vs Arbroath?
The Championship match finished St. Johnstone 1:0 Arbroath. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St. Johnstone and Arbroath?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches St. Johnstone won 1, Arbroath won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Johnstone vs Arbroath?
St. Johnstone score 2.10 goals per game on average and Arbroath 1.35. The Championship average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of St. Johnstone's matches and 55% of Arbroath's.
What form are St. Johnstone and Arbroath in?
Over the last 5 games St. Johnstone have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Arbroath 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Johnstone vs Arbroath?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


