St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers: match statistics
St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Johnstone played Raith Rovers in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
St. Johnstone: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Raith Rovers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Johnstone scores 1.88 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Raith Rovers scores 1.18 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Johnstone 44%, Raith Rovers 32%. Over 2.5: St. Johnstone 50%, Raith Rovers 41%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
St. Johnstone has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.30. St. Johnstone: 15.1 shots per match, Raith Rovers: 10.6.
Match halves
St. Johnstone: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00. Raith Rovers: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
St. Johnstone: 16-30 (15 goals). Raith Rovers: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St. Johnstone are favorites: they sit 1st and win 59% of home matches, scoring on average 2.06 goals and conceding 0.65 per game, while Raith Rovers are 5th and win only 18% away, averaging 0.53 goals and conceding 1.06. The hosts create significantly more chances — 16.06 shots and 5.41 on target per game with xG 1.89, versus 9.35 shots, 2.88 on target and xG 1.19 for the visitors; differences of approx. +6.7 shots, +2.5 on target and +0.70 xG. Additionally St. Johnstone have 53% clean sheets at home and fail to score in only 24% of home matches, while Raith fail to score in 59% of away games and have an away goal difference of -9, indicating issues in chance conversion. Although Raith have 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 13 goals in that period, their low away conversion (6%) and the hosts’ statistical superiority lead me to back a St. Johnstone win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict a 'No' (No Goal/Goal) scenario with 70% probability versus 30% for 'BTTS - Yes'. St. Johnstone averages 1.82 goals per game this season (64 goals), with xG 1.41 and 4.18 on-target shots at a 15% conversion, indicating the home side is likely to score. Raith Rovers average only 0.53 goals per game this season, have 53% clean sheets and season-long BTTS of 24%, which seasonally reduces the away side’s scoring chance. In the last 5 matches the visitors have averaged 2.6 goals and had 60% BTTS, but this is a short run compared to season metrics. Considering St. Johnstone’s efficiency advantage (15% vs 6% conversion) and the league-wide clean sheet rate of 65%, 'No' is the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect around 2.65 total goals: 1.70 for St. Johnstone and 0.95 for Raith Rovers. The basis is xG 1.41 (St. Johnstone) + 1.19 (Raith) = 2.60 and recent 5-match xG 1.50 + 1.49 = 2.99, so the 2.65 forecast sits between these values. St. Johnstone score an average 1.82 goals at home, register 11.82 shots with 4.18 on target and have a 15% conversion rate, while Raith average 0.53 goals away, 9.35 shots with 2.88 on target and a 6% conversion, which favors the home side in chance conversion. Seasonally, Over 1.5 occurred in 94% of St. Johnstone’s matches and 53% of Raith’s; a Poisson model for a 2.65 total gives ~74% chance for Over 1.5, ~49% for Over 2.5 and ~28% for Over 3.5. Based on this, the strongest and most probable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
St. Johnstone dominate the second half: they average 1.35 goals after the break versus 0.24 for Raith Rovers and win the second half in 65% of matches compared to just 12% for the visitors, so the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of a draw at the break and a home win is the most likely. The high likelihood of a draw at half-time stems from Raith being level at the break in 59% of their matches, while St. Johnstone average 0.47 goals by half-time versus 0.29 for the visitors, which favors a draw at the interval. The hosts also show superior full-match metrics: 1.82 goals per game vs 0.53 for Raith, higher xG 1.41 versus 1.19 and more shots on target 4.18 vs 2.88, so they are more often the team to produce a turnaround after the break. Taking this into account I assigned the highest probability to X/1 (27%), then 1/1 (19%) and X/X (12%) — the decision takes into account Raith’s low finishing efficiency (6% conversion rate) and the hosts’ offensive strength after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Johnstone | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St. Johnstone is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - St. Johnstone · 1.8 pts / match - Raith Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St. Johnstone is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - St. Johnstone · 1.18 goals / match - Raith Rovers
St. Johnstone is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - St. Johnstone · 1.12 goals / match - Raith Rovers
St. Johnstone scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).
Raith Rovers scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while St. Johnstone keeps a clean sheet in 53% (18 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Johnstone
Over / Under - Raith Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Johnstone is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - St. Johnstone · 1.03 pts / match - Raith Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Johnstone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Johnstone
Raith Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| St. Johnstone | Liga | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.62 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 32% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): St. Johnstone 1 - 2 - 0 Raith Rovers. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers?
The Championship match finished St. Johnstone 2:0 Raith Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St. Johnstone and Raith Rovers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches St. Johnstone won 1, Raith Rovers won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers?
St. Johnstone score 1.88 goals per game on average and Raith Rovers 1.18. The Championship average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 44% of St. Johnstone's matches and 32% of Raith Rovers's.
What form are St. Johnstone and Raith Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games St. Johnstone have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Raith Rovers 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers?
The statistical background for St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.