St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC: match statistics
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Louis City played Los Angeles FC in MLS (United States). The match was played on 14 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
St. Louis City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Los Angeles FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Louis City scores 0.91 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Los Angeles FC scores 1.67 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Louis City 55%, Los Angeles FC 33%. Over 2.5: St. Louis City 27%, Los Angeles FC 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
St. Louis City has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.50. St. Louis City: 13.7 shots per match, Los Angeles FC: 13.3.
Match halves
St. Louis City: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64. Los Angeles FC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
St. Louis City: 46-60 (3 goals). Los Angeles FC: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Los Angeles FC: they have 6 wins this season versus St. Louis’s 2 and a superior goal record of 20–12 compared to 10–18. LAFC’s away defense looks solid — 0.8 goals conceded per game on average and 60% clean sheets, while St. Louis concedes 1.5 goals at home and has 0% clean sheets, giving the visitors a clear defensive edge. However, the hosts create more chances: St. Louis’s home xG is 1.97 with 16.5 shots and 6.75 shots on target per game, whereas LAFC away has 1.43 xG and 4.4 shots on target, so St. Louis has realistic scoring potential. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 6 goals each, with St. Louis conceding 10 and LAFC 11, suggesting a risk of an open game with goals from both sides. Considering LAFC’s better overall record (6 wins vs 2), their defensive advantage on the road and the hosts’ chance creation, I predict an away win (50%); home 30%, draw 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick BTTS - Yes because in the last 5 matches both teams produced BTTS in 60% of cases, and over that period they conceded on average 2.0 (St. Louis) and 2.2 (LAFC) goals, which increases the likelihood of both scoring. Both sides scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches (avg 1.2 per game) and generate xG 1.45 (St. Louis) vs 1.23 (LAFC), while xG against is 1.42 and 1.83 respectively, meaning both teams create and concede chances. Seasonal signals are mixed: seasonal BTTS is 29% for St. Louis and 40% for LAFC with very high clean sheet percentages of 71% and 60%, which argues against BTTS. However, seasonal xG for 1.55 vs 1.43, shots per game 13.71 vs 12.8 and shots on target 4.71 vs 4.4 show both teams can create opportunities, and the league has 59% BTTS and an average 3.21 goals per game, so overall I favor the "yes" outcome (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Forecast based on xG: home attack xG = 1.55, away attack xG = 1.43; xG conceded are 1.43 for St. Louis and 1.44 for LAFC, which averaged gives expected goals 1.50 for St. Louis and 1.43 for LAFC, total 2.93 goals. A Poisson distribution with mean 2.93 yields P(0)=5.3% and P(1)=15.6%, so Under 1.5 ≈21% and Over 1.5 ≈79%. Further calculations show P(2)=22.9% (hence Under 2.5 ≈44% / Over 2.5 ≈56%) and P(3)=22.4% (hence Under 3.5 ≈66% / Over 3.5 ≈34%). Seasonal indicators support this picture: St. Louis records Over 1.5 in 71% and Over 2.5 in 57% of matches, LAFC has Over 1.5 in 60% and Over 2.5 in 40% of matches, which reinforces the signal toward the lower Over lines. Additionally, St. Louis averages 13.71 shots with a 15% conversion vs LAFC 12.8 shots and 9% conversion, increasing the likelihood of more goals from the home side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: St. Louis were level at the break in 57% of matches and average 1.0 goal by half-time, while LAFC only average 0.2 goals by half-time, and the home side lead at the break in 29% of cases. After the break the data favor St. Louis — the hosts win 57% of matches this season, have a higher xG (1.55 vs 1.43 for the visitors) and better shot conversion (15% vs 9%), and in 56% of second halves they are dominant and average 1.86 goals in the second half. Additionally St. Louis keep 86% clean sheets at half-time and have a low BTTS rate (29%), which increases the likelihood of a low-scoring, even first act that can be broken after the break by the home team. For these reasons the strongest signal from the data is a half-time draw and a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Louis City | Los Angeles FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Los Angeles FC is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - St. Louis City · 1 pts / match - Los Angeles FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Los Angeles FC is 84% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - St. Louis City · 1.67 goals / match - Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - St. Louis City · 1 goals / match - Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Los Angeles FC keeps a clean sheet in 67% (8 of 12 matches).
Los Angeles FC scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Louis City
Over / Under - Los Angeles FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Los Angeles FC is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - St. Louis City · 1.25 pts / match - Los Angeles FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Los Angeles FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| St. Louis City | Liga | Los Angeles FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.55 | 3.27 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 23% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: St. Louis City 0 - 0 - 1 Los Angeles FC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
The MLS match finished St. Louis City 2:1 Los Angeles FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
St. Louis City score 0.91 goals per game on average and Los Angeles FC 1.67. The MLS average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 55% of St. Louis City's matches and 33% of Los Angeles FC's.
What form are St. Louis City and Los Angeles FC in?
Over the last 5 games St. Louis City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Los Angeles FC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
The statistical background for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.