St. Louis City vs SJ Earthquakes: match statistics
St. Louis City vs SJ Earthquakes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Louis City played SJ Earthquakes in MLS (United States). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
St. Louis City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. SJ Earthquakes: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Louis City scores 0.88 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. SJ Earthquakes scores 2.44 and concedes 0.44. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Louis City 63%, SJ Earthquakes 33%. Over 2.5: St. Louis City 25%, SJ Earthquakes 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
SJ Earthquakes has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.56. St. Louis City: 13.1 shots per match, SJ Earthquakes: 16.7.
Match halves
St. Louis City: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63. SJ Earthquakes: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.56.
Goals by minute
St. Louis City: 76-90+ (3 goals). SJ Earthquakes: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
San Jose Earthquakes arrive in markedly better form: they have 8 wins and 1 loss this season with a goal record of 22 scored and 4 conceded, while St. Louis shows 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses with a 7-13 record. In the last 5 matches San Jose won all 5 games (17 goals scored and 3 conceded), whereas St. Louis has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (10-7), which translates to an average of 3 points per game for the visitors versus 1.6 points for the hosts. The home side averages 15 shots with 7.33 on target and has an xG of 1.94 per match, but converts that to only 1.33 goals (9% conversion), while San Jose scores 2.25 goals away on 9 shots with a 25% conversion. Defensively the visitors are stronger — they concede 0.5 goals on average away and keep clean sheets in 50% of away games, while St. Louis concedes 1.0 goal at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet (0%). Given the much higher finishing efficiency (2.25 vs 1.33) as well as form and defensive stability, I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I rate BTTS - Yes at 56% vs 44% because in the last 5 matches St. Louis produced BTTS in 80% and SJ in 60%, a strong form signal favoring both teams to score. Seasonally the home side has low BTTS 20% and high clean sheets 60%, but in the last 5 matches St. Louis scored 10 and conceded 7 (avg 2.0 and 1.4), while Earthquakes in their last 5 scored 17 and conceded 3 (avg 3.4 and 0.6). Additionally chance-creation stats favor the home team (xG 2.4 vs 1.08 and 22.8 shots vs 9.0), yet the visitors have high efficiency (conversion 25%) and 5 wins in a row, which increases their real ability to score despite fewer shots. Considering league-wide BTTS at 57% and the weight of recent-5 signals, the "Yes" scenario is moderately more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
St. Louis City averages 2.6 goals per match (xG 2.40), while San Jose averages 2.25 goals (xG 1.08); comparing xG against values (San Jose xG against 1.46, St. Louis xG against 0.70) yields expected goals of approximately 1.93 for the home side and 0.89 for the visitors, totaling 2.82. Season-to-date Over 2.5 occurred in 60% of St. Louis matches and 50% of San Jose matches, and in the last 5 fixtures these rates are 60% and 80% respectively, which strengthens the Over signal. St. Louis averages 22.8 shots and 8.8 on target per game, San Jose 9.0 and 3.5; despite fewer shots, San Jose has a conversion rate of 25% vs 11% for the hosts, increasing the risk of away goals. Although St. Louis has 60% clean sheets this season, the last 5 matches show BTTS 80% for the home team and 60% for the visitors, meaning both sides are scoring more often in form. Considering the expected 2.82 goals, recent Over 2.5 proportions and the league average of 3.24, I recommend betting Over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1: the hosts led at the break in 60% of their matches and average 1.2 goals before half-time versus 0.5 for SJ Earthquakes. The advantage in xG and shots favors St. Louis — the hosts’ average xG is 2.4 compared to 1.08 for the visitors, and the hosts register 8.8 shots on target per game versus 3.5 for SJ. In the second half the hosts score an average of 1.4 goals and have not conceded after the break in these stats (0.0), therefore I assigned a 51% probability to 1/1 and only 3% to a turnaround from the lead (1/2). I do not, however, ignore the visitors’ form: SJ have a 100% win rate in their last five matches and average 3.4 goals across those five games, so overall I give them a 15% chance of winning (1/2 3%, X/2 6%, 2/2 6%). The distribution reflects the hosts’ half-time dominance and higher xG while allowing realistic chances for a response from the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Louis City | SJ Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SJ Earthquakes is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - St. Louis City · 3 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SJ Earthquakes is 177% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - St. Louis City · 2.44 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes
SJ Earthquakes is 270% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - St. Louis City · 0.44 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes
St. Louis City scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while SJ Earthquakes keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
SJ Earthquakes scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Louis City
Over / Under - SJ Earthquakes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SJ Earthquakes is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - St. Louis City · 1.67 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
SJ Earthquakes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +10 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Louis City
SJ Earthquakes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| St. Louis City | Liga | SJ Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Louis City vs SJ Earthquakes?
The MLS match finished St. Louis City 2:3 SJ Earthquakes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Louis City vs SJ Earthquakes?
St. Louis City score 0.88 goals per game on average and SJ Earthquakes 2.44. The MLS average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 63% of St. Louis City's matches and 33% of SJ Earthquakes's.
What form are St. Louis City and SJ Earthquakes in?
Over the last 5 games St. Louis City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and SJ Earthquakes 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Louis City vs SJ Earthquakes?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.