St. Mirren vs Dundee United: match statistics
St. Mirren vs Dundee United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Mirren played Dundee United in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: The Smisa Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
St. Mirren: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Dundee United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Mirren scores 0.78 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Dundee United scores 1.30 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Mirren 35%, Dundee United 54%. Over 2.5: St. Mirren 32%, Dundee United 51%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Dundee United has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.34. St. Mirren: 11.7 shots per match, Dundee United: 13.4.
Match halves
St. Mirren: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.49. Dundee United: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
St. Mirren: 76-90+ (9 goals). Dundee United: 61-75 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (Dundee United). Over the season Dundee have scored 48 goals vs St. Mirren’s 29, and in the last 5 matches they’ve netted 6 (2W, 1D, 2L), whereas St. Mirren have only 4 goals in their last 5 (1W, 4L) and conceded 12 in that span. Away, Dundee average 1.33 goals with xG 1.37 and a shot conversion of 11%, while St. Mirren at home average 0.56 goals with xG 1.4 and fail to score in 61% of home matches, indicating finishing issues. Defensively the hosts look better at home – St. Mirren concede 1.17 goals at home and have 44% clean sheets, whereas Dundee concede 2.06 goals away and have only 6% clean sheets, so the match may be open with goals at both ends. Considering superior conversion (11% vs 5%) and recent form (PPG 1.4 for Dundee vs 0.6 for St. Mirren), I give the away side the edge, although a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because season-long indicators show St. Mirren have BTTS in 47% of matches and Dundee United in 61%, versus a league average of 51%. xG values support a realistic chance of both teams scoring: season xG for the home side is 1.59 versus 1.37 for the away side, with xG against around 1.69 and 1.67 respectively — both sides generate and concede approximately 1.6 xG per game. A counterpoint is recent form: BTTS in the last 5 matches has dropped to 20% for both teams — St. Mirren scored 4 and conceded 12 in their last 5 (avg 0.8 scored, 2.4 conceded), Dundee scored 6 and conceded 7 (avg 1.2 and 1.4). Crucially, Dundee have only 6% of games with a clean sheet this season and concede on average 2.06 goals per game, which increases the likelihood of the visitors scoring even if the home side’s form is weak. Weighting xG and season BTTS signals more heavily, I favor the "Yes" scenario (60% vs 40%) and recommend a 'yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams generate high xG and have vulnerable defenses: St. Mirren posts xG 1.59, Dundee United 1.37, while their defenses concede on average 1.69 (St. Mirren) and 1.67 (Dundee). A simple model (average of attack xG and opponent-conceded xG) yields expected goals of 1.63 for the home side and 1.53 for the away side, about 3.16 goals combined. Season-long Over 1.5 rates are 79% for St. Mirren and 100% for Dundee (average ~90%), while Over 2.5 occurs in 47% and 56% of their matches respectively (average ~52–56%). Additionally, in the last 5 matches St. Mirren concedes on average 2.4 goals, and Dundee scores on average 1.2 goals, reinforcing the minimum-2-goal scenario. Based on this I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal; Over 2.5 has a moderate edge, and Over 3.5 is less likely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/1 (draw at Half-Time, St. Mirren to win Full-Time) because home teams have draws at the break in 42% of matches, and the average first-half goals are 1.11 for St. Mirren versus 1.33 for Dundee United, favoring balanced opening halves. After the break, however, St. Mirren hold the edge: they score on average 0.79 goals in the second half while Dundee United concede on average 1.22 goals after the break, increasing the hosts’ chances of a turnaround. St. Mirren also create more danger (xG 1.59 versus 1.37 for the visitors) and perform better at home (1.47 points per match vs 0.89 for the visitors), which supports a Full-Time win for the hosts. Despite poorer recent form over the last five (hosts 'llllw', visitors 'wwlld'), second-half statistics (hosts average 1.42 points after the break vs 1.00 for the visitors) make the draw at Half-Time and St. Mirren victory at Full-Time the most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Mirren | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dundee United is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - St. Mirren · 1.4 pts / match - Dundee United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundee United is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - St. Mirren · 1.3 goals / match - Dundee United
St. Mirren is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - St. Mirren · 1.59 goals / match - Dundee United
St. Mirren scores in 51% of matches (19 of 37 matches), while Dundee United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 37 matches).
Dundee United scores in 65% of matches (24 of 37 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Mirren
Over / Under - Dundee United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundee United is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - St. Mirren · 1.11 pts / match - Dundee United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dundee United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Mirren
Dundee United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| St. Mirren | Liga | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.76 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 53% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 76% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): St. Mirren 1 - 0 - 2 Dundee United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Mirren vs Dundee United?
The Premiership match finished St. Mirren 1:1 Dundee United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St. Mirren and Dundee United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches St. Mirren won 1, Dundee United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Mirren vs Dundee United?
St. Mirren score 0.78 goals per game on average and Dundee United 1.30. The Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 35% of St. Mirren's matches and 54% of Dundee United's.
What form are St. Mirren and Dundee United in?
Over the last 5 games St. Mirren have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Dundee United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Mirren vs Dundee United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St. Mirren vs Dundee United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.