St. Mirren vs Falkirk: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced rivalry between two teams of similar disposition. St. Mirren presents stable form at home with 50% clean sheets and a goal difference of -1, however, they score an average of just 0.7 goals per match with 50% of games without scoring. Falkirk has weaker form on the road with 50% losses and a goal difference of -7, but their average of 0.8 goals per match and better shot conversion (7% vs 6%) give them a chance for points. Both teams have been earning a similar number of points in the last 5 matches (1.4 vs 1.2 PPG), and their recent meetings are characterized by low offensive efficiency. Considering the high probability of ineffectiveness for both sides (FTS% 50% for both), I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this fixture.
St. Mirren vs Falkirk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Mirren played Falkirk in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
St. Mirren: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Falkirk: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Mirren scores 0.84 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Falkirk scores 1.05 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Mirren 42%, Falkirk 45%. Over 2.5: St. Mirren 37%, Falkirk 55%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
St. Mirren has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.36. St. Mirren: 12.4 shots per match, Falkirk: 12.0.
Match halves
St. Mirren: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.53. Falkirk: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
St. Mirren: 16-30 (4 goals). Falkirk: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced rivalry between two teams of similar disposition. St. Mirren presents stable form at home with 50% clean sheets and a goal difference of -1, however, they score an average of just 0.7 goals per match with 50% of games without scoring. Falkirk has weaker form on the road with 50% losses and a goal difference of -7, but their average of 0.8 goals per match and better shot conversion (7% vs 6%) give them a chance for points. Both teams have been earning a similar number of points in the last 5 matches (1.4 vs 1.2 PPG), and their recent meetings are characterized by low offensive efficiency. Considering the high probability of ineffectiveness for both sides (FTS% 50% for both), I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Mirren | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St. Mirren is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - St. Mirren · 1.2 pts / match - Falkirk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Falkirk is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - St. Mirren · 1.05 goals / match - Falkirk
St. Mirren scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Falkirk scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Mirren
Over / Under - Falkirk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Mirren is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - St. Mirren · 0.75 pts / match - Falkirk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Falkirk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Mirren
Falkirk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| St. Mirren | Liga | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: St. Mirren 1 - 0 - 0 Falkirk. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Mirren vs Falkirk?
The Premiership match finished St. Mirren 0:2 Falkirk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Mirren vs Falkirk?
St. Mirren score 0.84 goals per game on average and Falkirk 1.05. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of St. Mirren's matches and 45% of Falkirk's.
What form are St. Mirren and Falkirk in?
Over the last 5 games St. Mirren have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Falkirk 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Mirren vs Falkirk?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.