St. Mirren vs Hibernian: match statistics
St. Mirren vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Mirren played Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 28 October 2026. Venue: The Smisa Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
St. Mirren: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Hibernian: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Mirren scores 1.10 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Hibernian scores 1.00 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Mirren 40%, Hibernian 80%. Over 2.5: St. Mirren 60%, Hibernian 70%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Hibernian has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.42. St. Mirren: 13.0 shots per match, Hibernian: 16.2.
Match halves
St. Mirren: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.30. Hibernian: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
St. Mirren: 31-45+ (4 goals). Hibernian: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hibernian hold a slight edge, primarily thanks to their recent form: they have collected 4 points from their last 5 matches, while St. Mirren have lost all 5. The hosts have scored just 2 goals and conceded as many as 14 during this period, whereas the visitors have scored 5 and conceded 5. St. Mirren concede an average of 2 goals per game at home, while Hibernian concede 1.25 away from home, further tipping the balance in the visitors’ favour. However, the two sides have comparable attacking potential: in these conditions, each averages 1.25 goals, with xG figures of 1.64 and 1.62, respectively. Hibernian are therefore the most likely winners, although the closely matched attacking numbers mean a draw or a home win cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Across the season, both teams scored in 80% of St. Mirren’s matches and 75% of Hibernian’s, and neither side kept a clean sheet. The hosts concede an average of 1.8 goals per match, which favors Hibernian, who score an average of 1.25. St. Mirren do average just 0.8 goals per match, but their xG stands at 1.85, while their opponents allow chances worth 1.90 xG. Caution is warranted, as the hosts have averaged just 0.4 goals over their last five matches, and BTTS has landed in only 40% of matches for each team. Even so, the season-long frequency of both teams scoring and the lack of clean sheets give a slight edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 80% of St. Mirren’s matches and 75% of Hibernian’s. Both teams have conceded in every match so far, with St. Mirren averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game compared with Hibernian’s 1.25, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. Their attacking potential also points towards goals: average xG stands at 1.85 for the hosts and 1.62 for the visitors, although their actual scoring averages are lower, at 0.8 and 1.25 respectively. Therefore, the projected total of 2.72 goals supports Over 1.5, but does not justify backing higher lines with the same confidence; Over 3.5 goals has been landed in only 20% of St. Mirren’s matches and in none of Hibernian’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Hibernian leading at the break and going on to win: St. Mirren were trailing at half-time in all 5 home matches considered, while the visitors led in 2 of their 4 away games. In first halves, the hosts average just 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, favouring an early Hibernian lead. The full-time outlook also points to the visitors: St. Mirren have lost their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 2.8 goals, while Hibernian average 1.25 goals away from home. Hibernian’s ability to hold their lead is supported by the fact that they have not conceded after the break in their last 5 matches, whereas St. Mirren have conceded an average of 1.6 goals in that period. The hosts’ attacking potential increases the risk of this selection—their average xG is 1.85, compared with the 1.90 xG conceded by the visitors—so a Hibernian win after a half-time draw remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Mirren | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St. Mirren is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - St. Mirren · 0.2 pts / match - Hibernian
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St. Mirren is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - St. Mirren · 1 goals / match - Hibernian
Hibernian is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - St. Mirren · 1.6 goals / match - Hibernian
St. Mirren scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Hibernian scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Mirren
Over / Under - Hibernian
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Mirren is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - St. Mirren · 0.6 pts / match - Hibernian
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hibernian - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Mirren
Hibernian
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| St. Mirren | Liga | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.90 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 55% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): St. Mirren 0 - 1 - 2 Hibernian. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Mirren vs Hibernian?
The Premiership match finished St. Mirren 1:1 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St. Mirren and Hibernian?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches St. Mirren won 0, Hibernian won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Mirren vs Hibernian?
St. Mirren score 1.10 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.00. The Premiership average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 40% of St. Mirren's matches and 80% of Hibernian's.
What form are St. Mirren and Hibernian in?
Over the last 5 games St. Mirren have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Hibernian 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Mirren vs Hibernian?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St. Mirren vs Hibernian: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.