St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk: match statistics
St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St Patrick's Athl. played Dundalk in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 24 July 2026. Venue: Richmond Park. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl.: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Dundalk: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
St Patrick's Athl. scores 1.63 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Dundalk scores 1.58 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St Patrick's Athl. 38%, Dundalk 71%. Over 2.5: St Patrick's Athl. 38%, Dundalk 63%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
St Patrick's Athl. has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.80. St Patrick's Athl.: 18.0 shots per match, Dundalk: 16.0.
Match halves
St Patrick's Athl.: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.92. Dundalk: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
St Patrick's Athl.: 76-90+ (9 goals). Dundalk: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St Patrick's Athl. have 12 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses this season with a 39-20 goal difference; at home they average 2.25 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game, keeping a clean sheet in 50% of matches. Dundalk have 9 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses with a 38-36 record; away they average 1.42 goals scored and 1.75 conceded, with only 8% clean sheets, indicating clear defensive issues. Chance quality favors the hosts: home xG is 2.25 versus 1.82 xG for the visitors away, and average shots on target 6.92 vs 5.5 and conversion 11% vs 8% confirm St Patrick's greater efficiency. In the last five matches the hosts scored 7 goals and average 1.4 points per game, while Dundalk scored 9 but conceded 9 and average 1.2 points, highlighting the visitors’ defensive instability. Considering the hosts’ defensive advantage along with higher xG and better efficiency, I predict a St Patrick's Athl. victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a strong seasonal BTTS trend: home 67%, away 75% versus a league average of 60%, favoring the Both Teams To Score option. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 100% of away games and 60% of home games; away sides average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in the last 5, while hosts score 1.4 and concede 1.2. xG indicates both teams create chances (xG 1.78 home vs 1.82 away) and have similar xG against (1.52 vs 1.54); average shots 15.33 vs 16.75 and shots on target 5.92 vs 5.5 confirm an offensive profile. The only argument against BTTS is the stronger home defense this season: hosts have conceded 20 goals and have 33% clean sheets, while away teams conceded 36 and have only 8% clean sheets. Considering the 67%/75% seasonal BTTS, 100% away BTTS in the last 5 and high xG and shot volumes, the strongest signal from the data is a "yes" (approx. 75%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: St Patrick's has xG_for 1.78 and Dundalk has xG_against 1.54, yielding an expected ~1.66 goals for the home side; Dundalk has xG_for 1.82 versus the home xG_against 1.52, yielding an expected ~1.67 goals for the visitors, totaling ~3.33 goals. Seasonal statistics confirm a propensity for goal-heavy games: St Patrick's matches went Over 2.5 goals in 67% of cases, Dundalk in 58%, and Dundalk's last 5 fixtures have a 100% Over 2.5 rate. Additionally, both teams show high BTTS percentages (home 67%, away 75%); the hosts have scored 39 and conceded 20 goals, while Dundalk scored 38 and conceded 36, indicating open games with chances at both ends. Considering the expected total of 3.33 goals, high xG on both sides and historical Over 2.5 of 67%/58% plus recent form 60%/100%, the strongest signal is Over 2.5 goals. Over 1.5 is very likely (seasonally 83% for hosts and 92% for visitors), whereas Over 3.5 has weaker support (33%/42%), so I recommend Over 2.5 as the optimal selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts led at the break in 6 of their matches so far (50%), scoring an average of 0.83 goals by half-time and conceding only 0.33, indicating control of the first half. Over the full match the hosts win 50% of games compared to 25% for the visitors, with average goals of 1.75 for St Patrick's versus 1.42 for Dundalk, so the HT lead for the hosts often translates into a victory after 90 minutes. Attacking xG is similar (1.78 versus 1.82), but the hosts have better shot efficiency—11% versus 8%—and more shots on target (5.92 vs 5.5), increasing their chance to convert opportunities. Additionally the hosts keep a clean sheet at half-time in 75% of HT cases versus 42% for the visitors, and BTTS at half-time is rare (17% and 25%), which further supports a 1/1 scenario. For these reasons the strongest signal from the data is an HT/FT '1/1'.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St Patrick's Athl. | Dundalk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St Patrick's Athl. is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.2 pts / match - Dundalk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St Patrick's Athl. is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.5 goals / match - Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl. scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Dundalk keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Dundalk scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while St Patrick's Athl. keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St Patrick's Athl.
Over / Under - Dundalk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundalk is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.63 pts / match - Dundalk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St Patrick's Athl. - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dundalk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| St Patrick's Athl. | Liga | Dundalk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 60% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 0 - 1 Dundalk. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
The Premier Division match finished St Patrick's Athl. 1:1 Dundalk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches St Patrick's Athl. won 1, Dundalk won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
St Patrick's Athl. score 1.63 goals per game on average and Dundalk 1.58. The Premier Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of St Patrick's Athl.'s matches and 71% of Dundalk's.
What form are St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk in?
Over the last 5 games St Patrick's Athl. have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Dundalk 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
The statistical background for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.