St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers: match statistics
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St Patrick's Athl. played Shamrock Rovers in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 10 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl.: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Shamrock Rovers: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
St Patrick's Athl. scores 1.80 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Shamrock Rovers scores 1.60 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St Patrick's Athl. 30%, Shamrock Rovers 50%. Over 2.5: St Patrick's Athl. 40%, Shamrock Rovers 30%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
St Patrick's Athl. has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.45. St Patrick's Athl.: 19.3 shots per match, Shamrock Rovers: 12.2.
Match halves
St Patrick's Athl.: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.30. Shamrock Rovers: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
St Patrick's Athl.: 76-90+ (5 goals). Shamrock Rovers: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-3. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 20%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St Patrick's Athletic have a clear home advantage: on average 2.6 goals scored per game and only 0.4 conceded, with an average xG of 2.29 versus opponents' 1.06, indicating strong quality of chances. Shamrock Rovers away score on average 1.4 goals and concede 1.2, with away xG of 1.45 against 1.02 xG conceded, which points to lower attacking efficiency and fewer clear-cut opportunities (3.6 shots on target vs 7.4 for the hosts). The home side average 20.8 shots per home game and keep a clean sheet in 60% of matches, while Rovers average 12.6 shots and 40% clean sheets — this reinforces St Patrick's superiority in chance creation and game management. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 11 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game, while Rovers have 7 goals and 1.6 points, further supporting the leaders as favorites. Considering the xG advantage (+1.23 vs +0.43), higher conversion rate (13% vs 11%) and stronger home defence, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
St Patrick's at home average 1.8 goals scored and concede only 0.6 per match this season, keeping a clean sheet in 60% of games; this is a strong signal against BTTS - Yes. Shamrock Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.2 seasonally with offensive xG 1.45 vs xG against 1.02, and the team has BTTS in 60% of matches while failing to score in 20% of appearances (i.e., scoring in 80%), suggesting they can score but are not infallible away. In the last 5 matches St Patrick's show a clear offensive uptick (average xG 2.58 and 11 goals in 5 matches, i.e. 2.2 per match), yet in that period they conceded on average 1.2 goals, which presents a mixed form picture. Comparing seasonal defensive metrics (0.6 conceded by hosts vs 1.2 by guests) and the hosts' high clean sheet rate (60%), the signal for St Patrick's to keep a clean sheet is strong and reduces the probability of both teams scoring. Based on this I estimate BTTS - Yes at 40% and No at 60%, so the best market pick is No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.23 expected goals for St Patrick's (home xG 1.44 and xG conceded by visitors 1.02 → average 1.23) and 1.25 for Shamrock Rovers (away xG 1.45 and xG conceded by hosts 1.05 → average 1.25), totaling 2.48 goals. Seasonally Over 1.5 occurred in 80% of matches for both teams, and the home side scored at least once in 100% of games, which increases the likelihood of exceeding 1.5. On-target shots 5.2 (home) vs 3.6 (away) and conversion rates 15% vs 11% suggest realistic conversion of chances, but season Over 2.5 is only 20% for the home team and 40% for the visitors, and the combined expected total 2.48 is marginally below 2.5. As a result the strongest signal is Over at the 1.5 line; at 2.5 I give a slight edge to Under (54% vs 46%), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (Under 80%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team exerts clear control by half-time: they led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) and average 0.8 goals scored by half-time with only 0.2 conceded, while the visitors average 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded by half-time. Over the full season St Patrick's average 1.8 goals and 2.6 points per match (80% wins), whereas Shamrock Rovers have 1.4 goals and 1.2 points per match (20% wins), demonstrating a significant home advantage over 90 minutes. Additionally, the hosts register more shots on target (5.2 vs 3.6), have similar xG (1.44 vs 1.45) but better finishing efficiency (15% vs 11%), and score on average 1.0 goal in the second half versus 0.6 for the visitors, so they can maintain or extend a lead. This is also supported by high clean sheet rates at half-time (80% HT) and the fact that the home side lead at the break in 60% of cases; therefore the strongest scenario is a home lead at Half-Time and a home win at Full-Time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St Patrick's Athl. | Shamrock Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shamrock Rovers is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 2.2 pts / match - Shamrock Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St Patrick's Athl. is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.6 goals / match - Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl. is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 0.9 goals / match - Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl. scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Shamrock Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
Shamrock Rovers scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while St Patrick's Athl. keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St Patrick's Athl.
Over / Under - Shamrock Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shamrock Rovers is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.7 pts / match - Shamrock Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St Patrick's Athl. - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shamrock Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| St Patrick's Athl. | Liga | Shamrock Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.60 | 2.58 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 44% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 1 - 3 Shamrock Rovers. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
The Premier Division match finished St Patrick's Athl. 0:1 Shamrock Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St Patrick's Athl. and Shamrock Rovers?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches St Patrick's Athl. won 1, Shamrock Rovers won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
St Patrick's Athl. score 1.80 goals per game on average and Shamrock Rovers 1.60. The Premier Division average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 30% of St Patrick's Athl.'s matches and 50% of Shamrock Rovers's.
What form are St Patrick's Athl. and Shamrock Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games St Patrick's Athl. have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Shamrock Rovers 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.