St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers: match statistics
St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St Patrick's Athl. played Sligo Rovers in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl.: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Sligo Rovers: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
St Patrick's Athl. scores 1.75 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Sligo Rovers scores 0.38 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St Patrick's Athl. 25%, Sligo Rovers 25%. Over 2.5: St Patrick's Athl. 38%, Sligo Rovers 38%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
St Patrick's Athl. has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.20. St Patrick's Athl.: 18.5 shots per match, Sligo Rovers: 11.3.
Match halves
St Patrick's Athl.: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.38. Sligo Rovers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.13.
Goals by minute
St Patrick's Athl.: 61-75 (4 goals). Sligo Rovers: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St Patrick's Athl. clearly dominate the statistics: at home they have scored 14 goals this season (average 2.25 per game) and concede only 0.25 goals per game, with a home clean sheet rate of 75%, while Sligo Rovers have only 3 goals this season and average 0.25 goals away. Form also favors the hosts — St Patrick's have a 4 wins and 1 draw record in the last 5 matches (wwdww) averaging 2.6 points per game, whereas Sligo over the same period have 1 win and 4 losses (lwlll) and 0.6 points per game. In chance quality the hosts average 20 shots and 5.75 on target per home match, have an 11% conversion and xG 2.12, while Sligo away average 9.75 shots, 2.25 on target, 3% conversion and xG 1.09. The visitors’ defense is vulnerable — Sligo concede on average 1 goal away, their away xG against is 1.87, and in the last 5 matches both teams have conceded 6 goals each, with Sligo overall conceding 12 versus 5 for the home side this season. Considering the edge in scoring efficiency (2.25 vs 0.25 goals per game), better xG (2.12 vs 1.09), higher number of shots on target (5.75 vs 2.25) and form (2.6 points vs 0.6 points in the last 5), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
St Patrick's Athl. concede 2.0 goals per match on average this season and have 0% clean sheets at home, indicating opponents regularly find the net. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 14 goals (2.8 avg) with an xG of 2.41, while Sligo Rovers scored 2 goals in their last 5 (0.4 avg) with an xG of 1.48. Season-long BTTS rate for both teams is 25%, but in the last 5 matches St Patrick's recorded BTTS in 60% versus Sligo's 20%, showing the hosts have more frequently allowed games with Goal/Goal recently. Additionally, Sligo score only 0.25 goals per match this season, however their average xG against (1.4) and St Patrick's high susceptibility to conceding (2.0) increase the likelihood that the visitors will get at least one goal. Based on this I pick BTTS - Yes with a confidence of 70% vs 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate total expected goals at 2.91 (home 1.59; away 1.32) — calculated as the average of home attack xG 1.31 and away xG against 1.87, and respectively 1.09 and 1.55 for the visitors. In the last 5 matches St Patrick's scored 14 goals (2.8 per match) and 60% of those games were Over 2.5, while Sligo have only 2 goals in the last 5 (0.4 avg) and 20% Over 2.5. Season figures show the home team have 50% of matches above 2.5 goals versus 25% for the away side, and the league averages 2.45 goals/match — the 2.91 projection is clearly above the league average. Additionally, the home side average 12.75 shots and 2.5 on target with xG 1.31, and the visitors have conceded 12 goals this season and carry an xG against of 1.87, which increases goal-scoring opportunities. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 2.5 (pick: over at the 2.5 line) — Over 1.5 is virtually certain, whereas Over 3.5 has weaker seasonal support (25%/0% for home/away).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the home team leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1) — I assign this a 34% probability. St Patrick's have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), and in those 5 games they led at the 45-minute mark in 2 instances (40%), with an average of 0.6 first-half goals for the home side versus 0.2 for Sligo. The hosts also post higher xG (1.31 vs 1.09), more average shots (12.75 vs 9.75) and a higher shot conversion (4.0 vs 3.0), indicating an advantage in chance creation. The visitors have averaged 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches and lost 4 of 5 (80%), and their share of leads at half-time is only 20%, so scenarios involving the visitors leading or winning are less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St Patrick's Athl. | Sligo Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 21% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St Patrick's Athl. is 333% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 0.6 pts / match - Sligo Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St Patrick's Athl. is 361% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 0.38 goals / match - Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl. is 138% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.5 goals / match - Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl. scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Sligo Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Sligo Rovers scores in 25% of matches (2 of 8 matches), while St Patrick's Athl. keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St Patrick's Athl.
Over / Under - Sligo Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St Patrick's Athl. is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.13 pts / match - Sligo Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St Patrick's Athl. - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sligo Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| St Patrick's Athl. | Liga | Sligo Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.38 | 2.45 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 45% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 34% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): St Patrick's Athl. 3 - 0 - 1 Sligo Rovers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?
The Premier Division match finished St Patrick's Athl. 4:1 Sligo Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St Patrick's Athl. and Sligo Rovers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches St Patrick's Athl. won 3, Sligo Rovers won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?
St Patrick's Athl. score 1.75 goals per game on average and Sligo Rovers 0.38. The Premier Division average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 25% of St Patrick's Athl.'s matches and 25% of Sligo Rovers's.
What form are St Patrick's Athl. and Sligo Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games St Patrick's Athl. have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Sligo Rovers 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?
The statistical background for St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.